Trend analysis

According to the monitoring data of business society, the copper price first rose and then fell in February. At the beginning of the month, the copper price was 70516.67 yuan / ton. At the end of the month, the copper price rose slightly to 71133.33 yuan / ton, with an overall increase of 0.87% and a year-on-year increase of 1.46%.

According to the current chart of business society, most copper spot prices are higher than futures prices. Near the end of the month, copper futures prices are higher than spot prices. The main contract is the expected price in two months, indicating that everyone is optimistic about the future market of copper prices.

According to LME inventory, there is little difference between the current copper inventory and the copper level of last year.

In terms of supply and demand: there were few maintenance plans for smelters in the first quarter, and the fear that the northern smelter would be affected by the Winter Olympics in the early stage did not materialize, allowing the smelter to maintain a high output. In January, the operating rate of wire and cable enterprises was 63.42%, a month on month decrease of 16 percentage points and a year-on-year decrease of 11.4 percentage points. In January, the operating rate of refined copper rod enterprises was 56.25%, a month on month decrease of 15.65 percentage points and a year-on-year decrease of 10.79 percentage points. In February, the supply was tight and the inventory was low. With the resumption of work after the festival, the demand increased. At the end of the month, the situation in Russia and Ukraine affected market sentiment and the operation of copper prices.

Based on the above situation, the tense relationship between Russia and Ukraine has led to market hedging. The pace of work resumption in the downstream after the domestic Festival is slow, and the demand for replenishment in the downstream is still poor. Domestic short-term demand is still weak, but as the weather gets warmer and warmer, demand recovers, superimposing low inventories. Copper prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level.

According to the data monitored by the business agency, the average ex factory tax price of Shanxi light potassium carbonate was 8266.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month. At the end of the month, the average ex factory tax price of Shanxi light potassium carbonate was 8433.33 yuan / ton, up 2.02%, the current price Rose 2.02% month on month, and the current price rose 27.30% year-on-year.

Potassium carbonate

Potassium carbonate prices rose in February. It can be seen from the above figure that the market of potassium carbonate has continued to rise since 2022, and the market has increased slightly this month, mainly because the supply of goods in the market is slightly tight after the Spring Festival, the downstream demand is better, the procurement is more active, and the price of potassium carbonate has increased slightly. According to the statistics of business agency, the mainstream factory quotation range of domestic industrial grade potassium carbonate in February was about 8400-8500 yuan / ton (the quotation is only for reference). The quotation is different according to different procurement conditions.

The overall trend of potassium chloride Market in February was mainly upward. After the signing of the large contract for potassium chloride of US $590 / ton, it boosted market confidence. The price of potassium chloride in Salt Lake and zangge has risen, and the volume has been increased one after another, but the market supply is still limited and the supply is relatively tight. With the advent of spring ploughing, agricultural demand has increased, and traders are actively taking goods. The high price of potassium chloride can give strong cost support to potassium carbonate.

The domestic potash fertilizer market is still expected to rise in the near future. The supply of border trade goods is tight and the cost support is good. It is expected that the price of potassium carbonate will mainly rise in the short term, and the long-term market still needs to wait and see. (the above prices are provided by major manufacturers of potassium nitrate all over the country and sorted and analyzed by potassium carbonate analysts of business society. They are for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details).

According to the price monitoring data of business agency, as of February 22, 2022, the average reference price of domestic n-propanol was 8055 yuan / ton. Compared with February 1 (the average reference price of n-propanol was 8100 yuan / ton), the average price was reduced by 45 yuan / ton, a decrease of 0.62%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that in early February, during the Spring Festival holiday, the domestic n-propanol market was calm, and the downstream purchase basically ended before the festival. During the holiday, the market trading was quiet, and the n-propanol market remained stable., After the festival (the 7th), the domestic n-propanol market moved down slightly, and the price of n-propanol factories in Shandong adjusted down narrowly, with an adjustment range of around 100 yuan / ton, so the market operated weakly and stably. On the 9th, the market of n-propanol witnessed a steady recovery, and the downstream demand began to expand one after another, giving confidence to the industry. Some suppliers of n-propanol in Shandong raised the ex factory price of n-propanol by about 100-200 yuan / ton. As of the 15th, the ex factory price of n-propanol in Shandong was around 7300-7500 yuan / ton.

In late February, the domestic n-propanol market as a whole moved downward again. After a small-scale replenishment in the downstream, the market demand became weak and the support given by the demand side was insufficient. On the 17th, some n-propanol dealers sold the goods at a profit and reduced the ex factory price of n-propanol by about 100-200 yuan / ton. Near the end of the month, individual suppliers adjusted prices according to their own inventory range, rising and falling each other, and the market fluctuated. At present, as of February 22, the ex factory price of n-propanol in Shandong is around 7300-7600 yuan / ton, and that in Nanjing is around 9000-9500 yuan / ton. Local dealers still have reservations about the price, and the price is not easy to monitor, which may lead to differences in the specific negotiation situation. Each region also has differences. It is mainly based on actual single negotiation, and we will wait and see the change of raw material price and shipment in the future.

In terms of upstream ethylene, on February 21, the Asian ethylene market, CFR Northeast Asia quoted us $1216-1226 / ton, CFR Southeast Asia quoted us $1186-1196 / ton, and the international crude oil futures price closed higher. The rise in oil prices was mainly due to the opposition between Russia and the West on Ukraine, which exacerbated supply concerns. February 21, February 21 (Monday) is the “Washington birthday anniversary” in the United States. The US stock market is closed for one day. The settlement price of the main contract of Brent crude oil futures is reported as US $95.39/barrel, up US $1.85 or 1.97%. Affected by the rising price of upstream crude oil, the ethylene market may mainly rise in the later stage.

Forecast of future trend of n-propanol

At present, the overall trading atmosphere of n-propanol market is still cold, and the downstream demand is mainly based on demand procurement. The analysts of business agency n-propanol believe that in the short term, the domestic n-propanol market will continue to adjust and operate in a narrow range, and more attention needs to be paid to the specific changes of supply and demand.

According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of February 22, the ex factory price of domestic industrial grade propylene glycol was 16600 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on February 1 (the ex factory average price of propylene glycol was 15633 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 967 yuan / ton, or 6.18%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business agency that the domestic propylene glycol market operated smoothly during the Spring Festival holiday in early February. After the end of the Spring Festival holiday, the domestic propylene glycol market ushered in a rising operation, and the on-site available spot was tight, supporting the firm quotation of the factory. From the 9th, the quotation of propylene glycol factory continued to rise. As of the 13th, the average ex factory price of domestic propylene glycol rose to around 17100 yuan / ton, with an increase of 9.38% in the first week after the festival. Subsequently, the downstream demand gradually opened. With the support of demand, the propylene glycol market continued to rise. As of the 15th, the ex factory price of domestic propylene glycol rose to around 17300-17700 yuan / ton, an increase of 12.37% in half a month.

In late February, the domestic propylene glycol market fell from a high level. After the domestic propylene glycol rose to a higher level, the wait-and-see mood in the downstream increased, the purchase rhythm slowed down, the transaction of new orders became weaker, and the propylene glycol market began to loosen and go down. On the 18th, the domestic propylene glycol market price fell back to around 16600-17300 yuan / ton, and the average price fell back to around 16900 yuan / ton. Then the market was temporarily consolidated and operated for a few days. On the 22nd, the inventory of some propylene glycol factories was under pressure, The ex factory price of propylene glycol was lowered again by around 100-300 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of propylene glycol in China was around 16400-16900 yuan / ton, and the average price was 16600 yuan / ton, with a decrease of 5.5% in the last ten days and an overall increase of 6.18% in February.

In terms of upstream propylene oxide, as of February 21, the overall market price of propylene oxide in Shandong was mainly rising. On February 21, the mainstream quotation of propylene oxide Market in Shandong was around 11800-11900 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the reference average ex factory price of propylene oxide in Shandong was 11966.67 yuan / ton on the 21st, an increase of 5.9% compared with February 1 (11300 yuan / ton).

Future trend analysis

At present, the wait-and-see atmosphere in the downstream of propylene glycol is still strong, and the performance is generally boosted by the transaction of new orders on the floor. Propylene glycol analysts of business society believe that in the short term, the domestic propylene glycol market is mainly stable, sorted and operated, and more attention needs to be paid to the news changes of supply and demand.

Price trend

According to the price monitoring of business agency, the price trend of cryolite in Henan decreased slightly this week. On February 18, the average market price in Henan was 7250.00 yuan / ton, a decrease of 0.68% over the weekend and 0.51% month on month.

quotations analysis

Domestic cryolite market wait-and-see sorting, during the week, the quotation of enterprises in Henan and Shandong was basically stable, and the prices of individual manufacturers decreased slightly. At present, the cost of cryolite and the supply of raw materials are basically stable. The start-up of enterprises in the north is low and the shipment is OK. The price of cryolite is mainly strong. The operators in the field wait and see the changes of the upstream and downstream market. As of February 18, the ex factory quotation of cryolite in Shandong is 7000-7600 yuan / ton, and the ex factory quotation of cryolite in Henan is 6700-8500 yuan / ton.

The price trend of upstream soda ash continued to be strong this week. As of February 18, the average market price was about 2462.5 yuan / ton, with an increase of 5.35% during the week. This week, soda ash sorting went up, manufacturers actively shipped, soda ash inventory decreased, the market trading atmosphere improved, and the price increase mentality of enterprises was strong.

Downstream, the aluminum market fluctuated and fell. On February 18, the aluminum price was 22726.67 yuan / ton, down 0.91% during the week. After the Spring Festival, the aluminum price rose too fast in a short time, and the downstream undertaking was weak. In addition, during the Winter Olympic Games, the operation rate of downstream production resumption was lower than expected, the game between supply and demand, and the aluminum price fluctuated and sorted out.

Future forecast

The domestic cryolite market is high and strong, the operating rate of cryolite enterprises is acceptable, there is no pressure on inventory, the downstream purchases on demand, the mentality of on-site cargo holders is wait-and-see, and it is expected that the short-term cryolite market will be sorted out, with specific attention to the downstream demand.

Aluminum fluoride prices fell slightly this week

According to the data of business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride fell slightly this week. As of February 18, the average price of domestic aluminum fluoride was 12433.33 yuan / ton, down 1.84% from 12666.67 yuan / ton on February 11 last weekend; Up 35.64% year on year.

The price of raw materials is weak and temporarily stable

According to the monitoring of business society, the price of fluorite was temporarily stable this week, and the price of hydrofluoric acid was weak and stable. The prices of raw materials fluorite and hydrofluoric acid are weak and stable, the cost of aluminum fluoride is weak and temporarily stable, and the downward pressure of aluminum fluoride is weakened.

The price of electrolytic aluminum fluctuated and fell

According to the monitoring of business society, the price of electrolytic aluminum fell sharply this week, down 1.20%. Aluminum prices fell, electrolytic aluminum manufacturers started to recover slowly, the demand for aluminum fluoride warmed up, the downstream market rose, the rising power of aluminum fluoride remained, and the downward pressure weakened.

Market overview and forecast

Analysts of aluminum fluoride industry of business agency believe that the price of hydrofluoric acid is stabilizing this week, the price of fluorite is temporarily stable, the cost of aluminum fluoride is stabilizing, the demand for aluminum fluoride is warming, the cost of aluminum fluoride is temporarily stable, and the demand is warming. In the future, the cost is temporarily stable, the supply is sufficient, the demand is low, the downward pressure of aluminum fluoride is weakened, and the upward momentum remains. In the future, the price of aluminum fluoride tends to be stable.

In the first week after the festival, the methanol market fluctuated in a narrow range and the transaction volume was poor. The downstream inventory is high, resulting in poor replenishment enthusiasm. The impact of the Winter Olympics and some maintenance on the downstream is greater than that on the upstream. After the factory prices of factories in the main production areas in the mainland rose sharply, the mainstream transaction was poor. Under the background of shipping pressure and the downward futures market, the domestic methanol market price opened a sharp correction.

According to the monitoring data of business agency, from January 31 to February 11, the average price of domestic methanol production enterprises increased from 2682 yuan / ton to 2745 yuan / ton. During the cycle, the price increased by 2.33%, 13.43% month on month and 21.86% year-on-year.

As of the closing on February 11, methanol futures in Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange fell violently. Ma2205 contract opened at 2821 yuan / ton, with the highest price of 2825 yuan / ton and the lowest price of 2705 yuan / ton. It closed at 2706 yuan / ton, down 88 yuan / ton compared with the closing of the previous trading day. As of the closing, ma2205 contract position was 917700 hands, an increase of 31000 hands compared with the previous trading day.

Summary of methanol market prices in various regions as of February 11:

Region, Price

Qinghai region No quotation

Shanxi region . 2400-2430 yuan / ton factory withdrawal cash exchange

Liaoning region . 2550 yuan / ton to cash exchange

Fujian Province RMB 2830-2850 yuan / ton, ex warehouse cash exchange nearby

Lianghu area Ex factory reference 2750-2800 yuan / ton factory withdrawal cash exchange

Anhui Province 2820-2850 yuan / ton factory acceptance

Henan Province 2550 yuan / ton factory withdrawal cash exchange

The prices of products in the methanol industry chain rose and fell, the coal price of methanol upstream products fell, the price of natural gas was stable, and the cost of methanol was generally supported; Among downstream products, the price of formaldehyde in Shandong increased the most; Among related products, Shandong ethylene glycol has the largest price increase.

In terms of external market, as of the closing on February 10, the closing price of CFR Southeast Asia methanol market was US $425.00-426.00/ton. US Gulf methanol market closed at 123.25-123.75 cents / gallon; FOB Rotterdam methanol market closed at 368.00-368.50 euros / ton.

region ., country., Closing price, Rise and fall

Asia . CFR Southeast Asia . 425.00-426.00 USD / ton . USD 0 / ton

Europe and America . US Gulf . 123.25-123.75 cents / gallon 0 cents / gallon

Europe FOB Rotterdam 368.00-368.50 euros / ton . 0 euro / ton

Coal may support or weaken the production cost of methanol. In terms of fundamentals, the marginal increment of supply may be limited, and the demand side has little change. Methanol analysts of business society expect that the domestic methanol market will be mainly sorted out in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitoring of the bulk list of business society, bromine prices were sorted and operated this week. The average market price at the beginning of the week was 58666.67 yuan / ton, and the average market price at the weekend was 59000 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 0.57%. On February 13, the bromine commodity index was 209.12, unchanged from yesterday, down 14.71% from the highest point 245.18 in the cycle (2021-10-27), and up 254.92% from the lowest point 58.92 on October 29, 2014. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

2、 Market analysis

At present, the domestic bromine price is slightly adjusted and operated. At present, the mainstream price of Shandong enterprises is about 55000-59000 yuan / ton. The bromine price is stable and small. At the beginning of the week, bromine enterprises have a small amount of spot goods, and the quotation is relatively firm. However, the downstream flame retardant and pharmaceutical intermediate industries started slowly after the Spring Festival, and the shipment of enterprises is general. In fact, supply and demand are weak and the market is deadlocked.

Raw materials: the price of sulfur rose this week. The average market price at the beginning of the week was about 2150 yuan / ton, and the average market price at the weekend was 2170 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 0.93%, 89.8% over the same period last year. Domestic refineries have no inventory pressure for the time being, the downstream sulfuric acid market is rising, the demand for liquid sulfur is increasing, the superposition of port supply into the market is less, the port liquid sulfur price is supported, and the liquid sulfur price of regional refineries is rising sharply; In terms of downstream phosphate fertilizer, the demand for sulfur is acceptable, the refinery shipment is smooth, and the price of sulfur fixation increases slightly.

Business analysts believe that the bromine price consolidation operation, bromine downstream flame retardants and intermediates industry mostly purchase on demand, but the actual transaction is general. It is comprehensively estimated that the short-term bromine price consolidation operation is mainly based on the downstream market demand.

1、 Price trend

As can be seen from the above figure, the domestic market price of neopentyl glycol rose sharply this week. The average price of domestic mainstream market price of neopentyl glycol rose from 16647.33 yuan / ton last weekend to 18400.00 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 10.53%.

2、 Market analysis

The quotation of mainstream manufacturers of neopentyl glycol increased this week: the distribution price of Shanghai Qihua Wanhua neopentyl glycol at the weekend was 19000 yuan / ton, which increased by 2000 yuan / ton compared with last weekend; The distribution price of Shandong Zhiying Jihua neopentyl glycol at the weekend was 17000 yuan / ton, which was 1858 yuan / ton higher than that at the weekend. Jinan aochen Wanhua neopentyl glycol weekend distribution price of 19200 yuan / ton, compared with last weekend, the quotation increased by 1400 yuan / ton

From the upstream raw material market of neopentyl glycol, the isobutyraldehyde market rose sharply this week. The average price of isobutyraldehyde in the mainstream market rose from 15400.00 yuan / ton last weekend to 17833.33 yuan / ton this weekend, up 2433.33 yuan / ton, or 15.80%. The market price of upstream raw materials rose sharply and the cost support was strengthened. Affected by the supply and demand side, it had a positive impact on the price of neopentyl glycol.

3、 Future forecast

The market trend of neopentyl glycol in the middle and late February may rise slightly. The upstream isobutyraldehyde market rose sharply, the cost support was strengthened, the downstream coating market was general, and the downstream procurement enthusiasm was weak. Analysts of neopentyl glycol of business society believe that the short-term neopentyl glycol market may rise slightly under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.

Recent price trend of isooctanol

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of isooctanol in Shandong rose sharply this week. This week, the average ex factory price of isooctanol in Shandong rose from 12066.67 yuan / ton last weekend to 13900.00 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 15.19%. Compared with the same period last year, it increased by 26.36% year-on-year. On the whole, Shandong isooctanol market rose sharply this week and showed a downward trend over the weekend. On February 13, the isooctanol commodity index was 102.21, unchanged from yesterday, down 25.67% from the highest point 137.50 in the cycle (2021-08-08), and up 190.78% from the lowest point 35.15 on February 1, 2016. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

The upstream support has been strengthened and the downstream demand has improved

From the perspective of manufacturer’s quotation, the ex factory quotation of mainstream manufacturers of isooctanol in Shandong increased this week: Jianlan chemical offered about 14000 yuan / ton of isooctanol this weekend, which increased by 2200 yuan / ton compared with last weekend, mainly contract; The quotation of lihuayi isooctanol this weekend is 13700 yuan / ton, an increase of 1900 yuan / ton compared with last weekend; Hualu Hengsheng offered 14000 yuan / ton of isooctanol this weekend, an increase of 1400 yuan / ton compared with last weekend.

From the upstream raw material market of isooctanol, the propylene market rose slightly this week. The quotation increased from 7750.80 yuan / ton last weekend to 8270.60 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 6.71%, an increase of 17.15% year-on-year over the same period last year, and there was a downward trend at the weekend. The market price of upstream raw materials rose slightly, and the cost support was strengthened. Affected by the supply and demand side, it had a positive impact on the price of isooctanol.

From the downstream market of isooctanol, the ex factory price of DOP rose slightly this week. The DOP price rose from 11425.00 yuan / ton last weekend to 12950.00 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 13.35%, an increase of 28.86% over the same period last year, and there was a downward trend at the weekend. Downstream DOP prices rose slightly, and downstream customers were more enthusiastic about purchasing isooctanol.

Weak demand and bearish outlook

In the middle and late February, the market trend of Shandong isooctanol may fluctuate slightly, mainly falling. The upstream propylene fell slightly over the weekend, the cost support weakened, the downstream DOP market fell slightly, and the downstream demand was general. The isooctanol analyst of business society believes that the isooctanol market in Shandong may fluctuate slightly in mid and late February.

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, as of February 11, 2022, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in the mainstream areas of China was around 700 yuan / ton, which was basically the same as that on February 1. Compared with January 1 (the ex factory price of phosphorus ore was 690 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 10 yuan / ton, or 1.45%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that in February, after the end of the Spring Festival holiday, the domestic phosphorus ore market maintained a temporary and stable operation trend before the festival. The downstream mainly digested the early inventory, and the demand side showed general performance. In terms of supply, the on-site construction started gradually, the supply pressure was small, and the quotations of mining enterprises were mostly high and stable. As of February 11, the price of 30% grade phosphate rock freight plant in Guizhou is around 660-680 yuan / ton, and the price of 28% grade phosphate rock freight plant is around 580-620 yuan / ton. In Guangxi, the phosphate ore market is stable, and the factory price of 30% phosphate ore is around 660-690 yuan / ton. In Hubei, the phosphate ore market is in high order, and the quotation of 30% ammonium phosphate ore truck board is 660-680 yuan / ton. The reference delivery price of 25% raw ore in Mabian County of Sichuan is around 350 yuan / ton, and the delivery price of 30% phosphorus concentrate in Mabian county is around 620 yuan / ton.

According to the business agency, the following is the current price of phosphate rock in some parts of China (for reference only)

product region grade Price remarks

Phosphate rock Guizhou 30% 660-680 yuan / ton Factory price

Phosphate rock Guizhou 28% 580-620 yuan / ton Factory price

Ammonium phosphate ore Hubei 30% 660-680 yuan / ton Car board price

Phosphate rock Guangxi 30% 660-690 yuan / ton Factory price

Phosphate rock Guangxi 28% 580-620 yuan / ton Factory price

In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, after the Spring Festival, the domestic yellow phosphorus market price rose on February 10. The overall market trading situation is acceptable, there are many downstream inquiries, mainly just need replenishment, and the transaction of new orders is limited. It is expected that the price of yellow phosphorus will mainly run at a high level in the short term. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 32375 yuan / ton on February 10, up 0.39% compared with 32250 yuan / ton on February 1.

Prediction and analysis of future trend of phosphate rock

At present, near the Spring Festival, the operating rate of domestic phosphorus ore mines is low, and the supply of phosphorus ore is still tight. Phosphorus ore analysts of business society believe that on the eve of the Spring Festival, the domestic phosphorus ore market will be consolidated at a high level, and more attention needs to be paid to the news changes of supply and demand.

Product Name: organosilicon DMC

Latest price (February 10): 31420 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of business society, on February 10, the overall stability of domestic silicone DMC market was maintained. On the 10th, the factory quotation of domestic silicone DMC was around 31000-31500 yuan / ton, and the average price was 31420 yuan / ton, which was basically the same as the previous working day. At present, the downstream demand for silicone DMC is still opening one after another, and the current trading atmosphere on the floor is relatively quiet.

Future forecast: after the Spring Festival holiday, the domestic silicone DMC market will gradually recover, and the downstream goods preparation is just needed. The silicone DMC data division of business society believes that in the short term, the domestic silicone DMC market will be more stable, mainly adjusted in a narrow range, and more attention needs to be paid to the trend changes of supply and demand.

Today, Shandong styrene market fell slightly. The production price of styrene in Shandong was 9290.00 yuan / ton, down 0.32% from yesterday.

Today, Shandong styrene market is weak. The raw material pure benzene rose and fell, and the cost support weakened. The styrene market took profits at high prices, superimposed the short-term supply increment after the festival, and the downstream is still in the stage of returning to work one after another, with insufficient spot transactions. In addition, some new styrene units have output, which is bad for the market. The styrene market is sorted and falling in price within the day.

The price of styrene in the northeast region will be reduced to RMB 9300-9200 / ton, and the price in the northeast region will be reduced to RMB 9300-9200 / ton near the northeast region.

Trade name: isooctanol

Latest price (February 7): 14333.33 yuan / ton

On February 7, the ex factory quotation of isooctanol in Shandong rose sharply, up 2266.66 yuan / ton or 20.11% compared with the quotation on January 28 before the festival, and up 31.10% year-on-year compared with the same period last year. The upstream propylene rose sharply, the cost support was strengthened, the downstream DOP market was consolidated at a high level, and the downstream rigid demand was dominated.

Recently, the ex factory price of isooctanol in Shandong may rise slightly: the manufacturer’s quotation is about 14500 yuan / ton.