1、 Price trend

On January 17, the antimony commodity index was 53.77, unchanged from yesterday, down 47.45% from 102.32 (2012-10-16), the highest point in the cycle, and up 14.45% from 46.98, the lowest point on December 24, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-09-08 to now).

2、 Market analysis

Upstream and downstream: on Wednesday, the price of antimony oxide followed the trend of antimony ingot, with the average price of 99.5% at 33500 yuan / ton and 99.8% at 36000 yuan / ton as of Friday. In terms of raw materials: the delivery and investment of mining enterprises are light, some mines are still shut down for maintenance in winter, and most mines are shut down for maintenance or suspended for delivery quotation.

Domestic market: the market price of antimony ingots is stable this week. Near the Spring Festival, most manufacturers are going to have a holiday or are going to have a holiday. Logistics and transportation will be suspended soon. Most manufacturers enter the spring holiday ahead of time. As of Friday, the price of 2 × low bismuth antimony ingots is 37000 yuan / ton, 1 × antimony ingots is 37500 yuan / ton, 0 × antimony ingots is 38500 yuan / ton, and the average price of 2 × high bismuth antimony ingots is 34500 yuan / ton.

Nonferrous Industry: the macro environment at home and abroad is warm this week, the first phase of Sino US trade agreement has been signed and implemented, and the domestic central bank has made a total of 900 billion net investment in this week. On Friday, the National Bureau of statistics released the important economic data of 2019, which shows that China’s economy continues to be stable and positive, and the market is more emotional, a shares and nonferrous basic metals keep rising.

3、 Future prospects

Next week is just four trading days before the Spring Festival. Most of the spot market is hard to have substantive trading, and the futures market will also take risk aversion to reduce positions and leave the market. Although the supply and demand are weak, but the basic metal market is full of expectations for consumption after the festival, and this year’s currency remains loose. With market confidence, although the spot price will show no market, the low selling price will decline Continuation

1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the domestic refrigerant R134a market is temporarily stable this week. On January 13, the average ex factory price of mainstream manufacturers was 23333.33 yuan / ton, and on the weekend (19), the average price was 23333.33 yuan / ton. This week’s market was temporarily stable. On January 18, the R134a commodity index was 85.37, flat with yesterday, down 14.63% from the highest point of 100.00 (2019-09-02), and up 2.94% from the lowest point of 82.93 on November 12, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)

2、 Market analysis

Product: R134a market of refrigerant market is stable temporarily this week. Near the end of the year, logistics has been shut down, factories are on holiday, traders are gradually delisting, and refrigerant prices are not adjusted much before the year. At present, the support of the raw material end is acceptable, and the stock of the automobile industry at the demand end is continuous, which is good for the formation of refrigerant R134a. After the year, new capacity investment will be added, and the price may have a downward trend. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of January 19, R134a price was concentrated around 21500 yuan / ton – 25000 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid and hydrofluoric acid of upstream products is stable temporarily. In the near future, the factory in the field is in a general situation, and the spot supply in the field is normal. The terminal and air-conditioning market are weak in purchase and sale, the inventory in the field is acceptable, the construction is insufficient, the automobile industry is preparing goods for temperature return, and the refrigerant R134a price is favorable.

3、 Future forecast

According to the refrigerant analyst of the business association, the logistics will be shut down one after another near the end of the year, the factory will have a holiday, and the traders will gradually withdraw from the market. It is expected that the refrigerant R134a will continue to run smoothly before this year.

1、 Price trend

The ex factory price of glycol fell slightly this week, according to the data of business agency. On January 10, the average ex factory price of oil to glycol in North China was 5283 yuan / ton, down 3.06% from last week.

At the beginning of this week, the price of ethylene glycol single can in East China was 5440 yuan / ton, and by Friday, the price was 5235 yuan / ton, down 205 yuan / ton, down 3.77%.

2、 Analysis of influencing factors

As of January 16, the total operating rate of ethylene glycol in China was 71.49%, the operating rate of coal production was 70.00%, and the operating rate of non coal production was 68.85%, which was higher than that of last week.

In terms of units, at present, Zhejiang Petrochemical Company plans to start its new 750000 T / a MEG unit in Zhoushan on January 18, while Hengli 900000 T / a glycol unit and Inner Mongolia Rongxin 400000 T / a coal to glycol unit that have been tested before the festival are all planned to be produced and sold after a year, and the supply in February is expected to increase significantly in China.

As of January 16, the glycol inventory in East China’s main port was about 354000 tons, an increase of 4000 tons or 1.14% compared with last Thursday’s decrease, and a decrease of 35000 tons or 0.98% compared with Monday’s decrease. Among them, Zhangjiagang has 175000 tons, the same as last Thursday; 65000 tons; Shanghai and Changshu have 24000 tons; Taicang has 47000 tons..

In the downstream, the overall operating rate of the downstream polyester industry has dropped to 74.71%, while the operating rate of most polyester and downstream textile industries can only be recovered in the second half of February.

3、 Analysis and prediction

The market price of glycol rose slightly earlier this week due to the expectation of tight supply caused by long-term low inventory. However, with the decrease of downstream construction, polyester end production and marketing ratio, oil and coal producers have lowered the price of glycol, and the market atmosphere has gradually weakened. After the festival, the new devices will continue to produce stably. During the Spring Festival, there will be some delayed arrival of cargo to the port, or it will cause accumulation of storage. Under the influence of many factors, the trend of glycol in the later period may be on the low side.

Market Overview:

According to a large amount of data monitoring from the business agency, the dichloromethane market in Shandong Province kept stable operation this week, and the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong Province was around 2480 yuan / ton in the week.

Market analysis:

Product: due to the traditional off-season of dichloromethane market, the downstream demand is flat, and the demand side support is insufficient. Although the overall inventory of the market is low, it still cannot prevent the weak operation of dichloromethane price. At present, the quotation in Shandong is about 2480 yuan / ton; in East China is about 2700-2800 yuan / ton; in Jiangxi, Liwen is about 2650 yuan / ton.

Industrial chain: in the upstream, the weakness of natural gas market is hard to change, with a decline of 5.38% in the week. In the face of insufficient support of dichloromethane, the cost is about 3273 yuan / ton at present; the liquid chlorine market is stable and volatile, and the demand in the downstream is flat, with an increase of about 300-450 yuan / ton at present. On the downstream side, the domestic refrigerant market is in short supply and the downstream stock is picking up, and the weekly price is slightly higher; the pharmaceutical agricultural market and solvent industry just need to be flat, and the price of dichloromethane is generally supported.

Future forecast:

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, it is in the off-season of dichloromethane at present, with low inventory of enterprises and poor downstream demand. Under the condition of weak supply and demand, it is expected to be stable and moderate in the short term.

1、 Price trend

The average price of n-butanol as of January 10 was 5933 yuan / ton (including tax), an increase of 130 yuan / ton or 2.30% compared with that at the beginning of the week (January 6), according to the data of business agency.

2、 Market analysis

Product: this week, the domestic n-butanol market is stable, moderate and small increase, East China low price offer continues to move up this week, some factories are affected by environmental protection to reduce load operation, downstream users of butyl have a high enthusiasm for purchasing, favorable factors are still in place, the confidence of the industry is boosted, and the current factory cost pressure is large, the offer of the industry is more and more firm, the prices in all regions of the market are stable, downstream customers buy Rising mentality is becoming apparent. The main offer spread between East China and North China has widened. At present, as of January 10, the ex factory quotation of n-butanol in East China is around 6300-6400 yuan / ton; the ex factory quotation of n-butanol in North China is around 5900-6000 yuan / ton; the ex factory quotation of n-butanol in South China is around 6200-6300 yuan / ton; the collective pricing of n-butanol in Luxi Chemical is around 5900 yuan / ton; the ex factory quotation of n-butanol in Shandong lihuayi is around 5900 yuan / ton Nearly: the factory quotation of North China n-butanol of Wanhua Chemical Co., Ltd. is 6000 yuan / ton, 100 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; the factory quotation of East China n-butanol is 6350 yuan / ton, 100 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; the factory quotation of South China n-butanol is 6350 yuan / ton, 50 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week.

Industrial chain: as of January 10, the market price of propylene in Shandong Province has been raised again. Affected by international crude oil, domestic propylene price rebounded from the bottom at the end of December, rising continuously. On January 5 and 6, it was generally stable, on July 7 and 8, and it was stable on September 9. Today, it continued to increase by about 100 yuan / ton. At present, the market transaction has risen to about 7050-7300 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 7050 yuan / ton. At present, although the international crude oil price has declined, the downstream powder starting load has declined and the profit margin has decreased, but due to the shutdown or load reduction of some domestic dehydrogenation units, a dehydrogenation unit in South Korea is planned to be shut down for maintenance, the supply is obviously tight, the refinery shipment is smooth, and it is expected that the propylene market price may still rise in recent days.

3、 Future forecast

According to the analysis by the data analyst of the business club, it is expected that the n-butanol market will continue to operate stably in the short term, the low price area of the market will continue to move towards the high level, and there is room for the price of the n-butanol market to rise again before the Spring Festival.

1、 Price trend

According to the data of the business club’s bulk list, caprolactam started to rise after a big fall, which has continued to rise 5.96%. On January 6, the average ex factory price of domestic caprolactam liquid was 11100 yuan / ton, and on January 10, the average ex factory price of domestic caprolactam liquid was 11266 yuan / ton, with a weekly price increase of 1.50%. So far, the caprolactam commodity index on January 12 is 56.67, flat with yesterday, 43.33% lower than the highest point in the cycle of 100.00 (2017-03-02), and 5.96% higher than the lowest point of 53.48 on December 5, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2017-03-01 till now)

2、 Market analysis

Product: caprolactam rose slightly this week. As of January 10, the price of caprolactam liquid in Shandong Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. was 11000 yuan / ton, cash was delivered, and the manufacturer’s capacity was 300000 tons. The actual transaction can be negotiated. The price of Nanjing Dongfang caprolactam liquid is 11700 yuan / ton, the 400000 ton / year unit is in normal operation, and the caprolactam unit is in normal operation. The price of Baling Hengyi caprolactam liquid is 11150 yuan / ton. The 450000 ton / year unit is normally started and accepted. The price of caprolactam liquid in Baling Petrochemical Company is 11150 yuan / ton, and the 300000 ton / year unit is normally started and accepted. Fujian Tianchen Yaolong caprolactam liquid price 11600 yuan / ton, contract order, 280000 tons / year normal operation of the device.

Industrial chain: the market of cyclohexanone is stable this week, and the main price in Shandong is 7300-7450 yuan / ton (ex factory in spot exchange), which is stable compared with last week. The situation in the Middle East was suddenly tense, crude oil rose, pure benzene market rose, and cyclohexanone cost pressure increased. Heavy snow in the North during the week affected the logistics and transportation, and the demand for solvents was limited. Affected by the situation in the Middle East at the beginning of the week, oil prices soared, driving the price of pure benzene up in the external market and the domestic market. However, in the later period, the oil price plummeted and the support surface weakened. In addition, the downstream trading has been light and the profit is insufficient, so the market fell back.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the first week of 2020 (1.6-1.10), there are 27 kinds of commodities rising month by month in the list of commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, among which there are 3 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 3.5% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 commodities are bisphenol A (9.65%), glycol (7.92%), ammonium chloride (5.09%). There are 18 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and 1 kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are caustic soda (- 5.22%), chloroform (- 4.55%), sodium metabisulfite (- 3.79%). This week’s average was 0.35%.

3、 Future forecast

According to caprolactam analysts of the business club, in the near future, with the support of raw material price and the insufficient supply of products affected by the weather in the north, the manufacturer intends to hold up the price, the price of caprolactam starts to rise, and the downstream demand is acceptable. It is expected that caprolactam will keep rising in the later period, and it is suggested to pay attention to the change of raw material price.

1、 Price trend

In this week (1.06-1.10), the market price of domestic 1 × tin ingot rose. The average price of domestic market was 140562.5 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 141700 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 0.81%.

On January 10, the tin commodity index was 72.18, unchanged from yesterday, 28.00% lower than the highest point in the cycle, 100.25 (2011-09-05), and 68.41% higher than the lowest point, 42.86 on December 9, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now).

2、 Market trend analysis

Domestic market: the spot market price fluctuated upward this week, mainly driven by the futures market and the positive stock up of enterprises towards the end of the year. As of Friday, the mainstream price of the spot tin market was 140500-142000 yuan / ton. It’s 750 yuan / ton higher than last Friday. In terms of premium and discount, on Friday, the premium of Yunxi was 1000 yuan / ton for Shanghai phase tin 2001 contract, 500 yuan / ton for ordinary Yunzi flat water – premium, and 140500-141000 yuan / ton for small brand mainstream.

Nonferrous Industry: this week, the market shrouded in the risk sentiment brought about by the US Iraq conflict. Crude oil and gold soared, and nonferrous metals were passively pressured, first suppressed and then raised. As the United States announced to replace the full-scale war with economic sanctions, the risk aversion mood was eased, and the low metal level gradually picked up.

3、 Future prospects

Next week will usher in the first round of signing the Sino US trade agreement. There are a lot of data in the United States, and it is expected that the U.S. dollar will still have room to continue to recover. China will face the delivery of the 2001 contract. With the delivery for another month, downstream consumption will gradually enter the Spring Festival holiday mode, and consumption will obviously turn weak, and basic metals will fall under pressure after surging. From next week, it will be closed in recent years. Most manufacturers will have a holiday. The market is light and the price is stable.

1、 Price trend

According to the sample data monitored by the business agency, as of January 9, the average price of domestic BDO market was 9796 yuan / ton, with a 0.16% increase on a month on month basis and a 2.77% decrease on a year-on-year basis.

2、 Market analysis

Products: there is no obvious fluctuation in the domestic BDO market. At present, the main factory controls goods and road transportation restrictions are superimposed. The on-site spot quantity is not loose. The manufacturers stick to the high price offer, the middle and lower reaches maintain the cautious spot replenishment rhythm, and the overall negotiation and delivery rhythm is slow. The early peripheral news frequently stimulate a large range of chemical products, and the essence and more reflection is also worth it Get attention. The new mode in the venue has not yet made clear progress and is under continuous attention.

In terms of market, the BDO market in South China has been operating steadily. The spot supply is limited and the negotiation focus is high. The factory actively promotes the hanging settlement and marketing, but the downstream has strong resistance and just needs to enter the market for purchase. The BDO market in East China is strong. Under the double superposition of transportation and factory control, the supply of goods in the market is general, and the supplier continues to offer at a high level. However, the downstream is opposed to the new model, pushing forward slowly, and the fluctuation of trading center is not obvious.

Industrial chain: in terms of raw materials, methanol and methanol have a strong trend. Although local logistics is limited, the enthusiasm for goods preparation before the festival is fair. Most enterprises in Guanzhong and other places sell smoothly. The price in Guanzhong has been raised to 1800-1960 yuan / ton again in this week. The ex factory price in Xinjiang (Xinjiang) has risen sharply to 1170-1330 yuan / ton. At present, the inventory of most enterprises in Northwest China is not high, and the downstream needs to prepare goods before the festival, but the traditional downstream demand has been weak, and it is expected that the recent market will mainly fluctuate.

Calcium carbide: the price of domestic calcium carbide market is still rising regionally. At this stage, the road transportation situation in all regions affected by the weather has not improved, the arrival of calcium carbide is insufficient, and the market purchase price is gradually increased. At present, the main quotation in Shanxi Province is 2900 yuan / ton; the main quotation in Henan Province is 3050 yuan / ton; the main quotation in Shaanxi Province is 2660-2690 yuan / ton. It is expected that the domestic calcium carbide market will continue to follow the rise, and the downstream will actively purchase.

3、 Future forecast

On the whole, on the positive side, the manufacturers are willing to support the market, and some of them are under maintenance. On the negative side, downstream demand is weak. BDO analysts predict that in the short term, the domestic BDO market will be in a strong operation, with specific attention to plant restart and downstream demand.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of January 3, the average price of domestic ethanol market was 5520 yuan / ton, which was 0.73% higher than that of the same period last month and 3.50% higher than that of the same period last year. The domestic ethanol market is in high-level consolidation, and the market in some regions is strong.

2、 Market analysis

Product: this week, the domestic alcohol market is stable and dynamic. Except for the slight adjustment of anhydrous market price, other markets have not changed much. The Northeast ethanol market remained stable around New Year’s day. Influenced by the snow and road closures, the external quotation of small northeast factories began to decline. The quotation remained stable when the inventory of large factories was not high, the downstream liquor procurement was close to the end and the chemical factories concentrated on the end of the month procurement. At the beginning of the week, the enterprises in East China adjusted their prices and then returned to normal. At present, the source of goods and ships did not arrive at the port, and the market price remained stable. Henan region The quotation of the enterprise is stable, the downstream just needs to purchase, and the market price remains in order; the quotation of the market in South China is relatively stable, and the operation rate of the enterprise’s devices is still not high. At present, the anhydrous price has been slightly reduced, because the downstream just needs to be insufficient. At present, the market price continues to be supported by the favorable supply in Guangdong, Guangxi, Anhui and other places.

Industry chain: corn: corn prices rose and fell slightly in some parts. In the near future, the grass-roots level in the main production area is loose in their attitude of reluctant to sell, and the corn is concentrated in quantity. The deep processing enterprises can flexibly adjust the purchase price according to the arrival quantity of the factory door. In the month of December, growers are faced with the demand for cash and repayment of loans before the festival. Factors such as the shortened period of grain sales before the festival, the purchase by raising the price of the state treasury, and the increase of the import expectation of substitutes are added. The grass-roots grain sales in the main production area are speeding up, and the increase of the quantity of corn promotes the price reduction and purchase of some processing enterprises. The spot price is still in the weak adjustment stage, but there are signs of bottoming out. We still believe that the probability of corn prices continuing to be weak in the short term is on the high side, and this prediction will not change for the time being. With the start of stock up demand before the Spring Festival, it is expected that corn prices will be stable and moderately bullish around the first and middle of January.

Ethyl acetate: the domestic ethyl acetate market fell in shock this week. Shandong Yankuang ethyl acetate plant maintains half load production, and the market supply is relatively sufficient. After the new year’s day, the purchase and purchase volume of raw ethyl acetate is gradually reduced, and there is no intention to prepare goods at the end of the year, which leads to the situation that the supply of domestic ethyl acetate Market is gradually larger than the demand, and suppliers and manufacturers are passively competing for shipment, which drives the market transaction down. However, the purchase volume of ethyl acetate in the downstream is still rational. After the supplier’s decline, the supplier is stable and intends to stabilize the price to attract the downstream purchase. However, the reduction of the downstream substantial demand becomes a force majeure. The ethyl acetate Market is passive and weak. Considering the inventory pressure in the later spring festival, it is expected that the ethyl acetate Market will still be weak next week.

3、 Future forecast

The ethanol analyst of the business association predicted that the short-term ethanol market is expected to be weak. At present, the inventory of large factories in Northeast China is not high, but the inventory of small factories is high due to the restrictions of transportation. The shipping mentality is positive, and the market price is weak. With the end of liquor purchasing and the purchase at the end of the month and the beginning of the month of chemical industry concentration, the demand in January is obviously reduced. The normal production of large factories’ devices and the arrival of the Spring Festival are expected The number of vehicles coming will continue to decrease. Under the influence of snowfall, it is difficult to find a higher price in logistics. It is expected that the price of Northeast market will be weak in the short term. In East China, a large number of ships will arrive at the port at the beginning of the month, and some cassava production enterprises will start production in January with raw materials arriving at the port. The supply will increase. The downstream chemical terminal heard that the holiday will start around January 10, which is affected by the increase of demand and supply , prices will be weak.

1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the comprehensive price of hydrochloric acid in North China fell slightly this week, and the quotation fell from 253.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 243.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 3.59%, up 137.40% year on year. Overall, hydrochloric acid fell slightly this week, with the January 3 hydrochloric acid commodity index at 64.03.

2、 Market analysis

（1） Products:

This week, the price of hydrochloric acid market manufacturers fell slightly, the overall market is average. Dezhou Shihua hydrochloric acid quotation is 300 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable; Wenshui synthetic hydrochloric acid weekend quotation is 210 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Jinan Yuanfei hydrochloric acid weekend quotation is 450 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Dezhou Maihua hydrochloric acid weekend quotation is 70 yuan / ton, which is 30 yuan / ton lower compared with the beginning of the week.

（2） Industrial chain:

The upstream liquid chlorine market is generally weak in support of hydrochloric acid, while the downstream dyes, calcium chloride and chloroethane are still mainly purchased according to early demand. Hydrochloric acid market as a whole seems to be declining, and by-product acid is still hitting the market. The pressure of hydrochloric acid delivery is relatively high, and the quality of by-product hydrochloric acid produced by TDI, chloropropene, propylene oxide and methane chloride is relatively good. On the whole, the difficulty of hydrochloric acid delivery is still a big problem.

3、 Future forecast

After the adjustment in December, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. Business analysts believe that: upstream liquid chlorine Market in the near future is general, downstream rare earth, fuel demand is weak. Business analysts believe that the recent low consolidation of hydrochloric acid mainly.

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitored by the business association, the price of domestic potassium nitrate was weak and consolidated this week. This week, the price of domestic industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 4350.00 yuan / ton, and the current price was 4.92% lower than last year.

2、 Market analysis

Product: this week, the domestic potassium nitrate Market was in a weak consolidation. The price of upstream raw material potassium chloride fluctuated slightly due to the arrival of the port, generally in a low consolidation. The trading atmosphere of potassium nitrate Market was general, the downstream demand was general, in a stable period of consumption, the supply and demand were relatively stable, and the situation was in a weak consolidation state. In addition, the overall downstream demand is general, the inventory is relatively sufficient, the rising power is insufficient, and the price is mainly stable. This week, the price change is not big. The domestic mainstream potassium nitrate manufacturers offer 4200-4500 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

Potassium nitrate analysts of the business association think: in the near future, the market situation of nitric acid market is weak and consolidation, spot trading is tepid and tepid, and the manufacturer’s mentality is general. It is expected that the demand for potassium nitrate will not be greatly improved in the short term, and the market situation may continue to consolidation and operation.

According to a large amount of data monitoring from the business agency, the dichloromethane market in Shandong Province kept stable operation this week, and the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong Province was about 2600 yuan / ton in the week.

Market analysis:

Product: at present, the dichloromethane market in Shandong Province is producing normally, and the inventory pressure of enterprises is not large. Therefore, the enterprises have a good attitude of pricing. However, they are in the traditional off-season of dichloromethane, the downstream demand is flat, and the demand side support is insufficient. At present, the quotation in Shandong is about 2600 yuan / ton; in East China is about 2800-2900 yuan / ton; in Jiangxi, Liwen is about 3150 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: in the upstream, the price of natural gas fell 3.8% continuously in a week, and the cost is insufficient in the face of dichloromethane support. At present, it is about 3970 yuan / ton; the supply of liquid chlorine market is sufficient, but the demand in the downstream market is poor, and the enterprise’s quotation continues to decrease, and it is over reported about 400-550 yuan / ton at present. In the downstream, the supply of domestic refrigerant market is tight, the inventory is low, and the price rises slightly, but the overall construction is still low; the pharmaceutical and agricultural market and solvent industry just need to be flat, and the price of dichloromethane is generally supported.

Future forecast:

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, it is in the off-season of dichloromethane at present, and both sides of supply and demand are slightly low, which is in the state of game. It is expected to be stable and moderate in the short term.

Market Overview:

According to the bulk data monitoring of the business agency, the dichloromethane market in Shandong Province rose and fell in December, with an average price of 2680 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 2600 yuan / ton at the end of the month, an overall decline of 2.99%.

Market analysis:

Product: affected by the supply-demand relationship, the dichloromethane market in Shandong Province rose and fell sharply in December, with the highest price of 2720 yuan / ton and the lowest price of 2450 yuan / ton, a difference of 10.91%. This month, dichloromethane production enterprises started steadily, with low inventory. The downstream market just needs to purchase, and the enterprise’s adjustment quotation is mostly affected by the enterprise’s inventory. At present, the quotation in Shandong is about 2600 yuan / ton; in East China is about 2800-2900 yuan / ton; in Jiangxi, Liwen is about 3150 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: in the upstream, due to the oversupply of the market, the price of natural gas continued to fall by 19.11% in the month. In the face of the insufficient support of dichloromethane, the cost is about 3760 yuan / ton at present; the supply of liquid chlorine market is sufficient, but the demand of the downstream market is not good, and the enterprise’s quotation continues to decline. At present, the price is over reported at about 400-550 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the supply of domestic refrigerant market is tight, the inventory is low, and the price rises slightly, but the overall construction is still low; the pharmaceutical and agricultural market and solvent industry just need to be flat, and the price of dichloromethane is generally supported.

Future forecast:

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, due to the traditional off-season of dichloromethane, low purchase intention of downstream market and traders, and insufficient support of demand side, dichloromethane production enterprises mostly intend to stabilize prices, and the market is in a state of game, which is expected to stabilize in the short term.