1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of Yunnan Guizhou yellow phosphorus rose this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus was 17366.67 yuan / ton last Thursday and 17733.33 yuan / ton this Thursday. The price rose by 2.11% in the week.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the overall trend of domestic yellow phosphorus market is upward, the yellow phosphorus market continues to stock before the festival, the spot on the floor is tight, and the manufacturer’s quotation is high. Up to now, the mainstream price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 17500-17700 yuan / ton; The mainstream price in Sichuan is about 17500 yuan / ton; The mainstream price in Guizhou is about 17800 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw materials, as of April 21, the average reference price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in mainstream areas in China was around 480 yuan / ton. Compared with April 18, the average price increased by 10 yuan / ton, or 2.31%. Compared with April 1 (the average reference price of phosphate rock was 446 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 34 yuan / ton, or 7.46%. Business community phosphorus ore analysts believe that, supported by the just need to prepare goods before the festival, the market price of phosphorus ore is expected to be strong and high in the near future, and the price of individual regions is expected to continue to explore.

In terms of coke, the coke markets of Shandong Port and port are relatively strong. At present, the mainstream ex warehouse price of quasi primary metallurgical coke in port area is about 2300 yuan / ton, and the price of primary coke is 2400 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the previous trading day. The volume of port collection dropped slightly, the site was tight, and the increase of port inventory was postponed. At present, the sales situation of coking enterprises is good and the production is positive. Some coking enterprises have started the second round of increase, but the downstream steel mills have not responded yet. Hebei, Shanxi and other places strictly implement the environmental protection production restriction, among which Jinzhong Area of Shanxi Province has a certain impact on the overall output, and the supply of some high-quality coke is tight. At present, the coking enterprises have a good mentality, and the future market is expected to be bullish.

In terms of downstream phosphoric acid, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid was 5216.67 yuan / ton last Thursday and 5250 yuan / ton this Thursday, according to the block data list of business society. The price rose by 0.64% in the week. According to the phosphoric acid analysts of the chemical branch of business society, the raw material side rose before the festival, and the supporting force gradually strengthened. The phosphoric acid market rose steadily. Some enterprises have made a tentative rise, and it is expected that there will still be a rise in the short term, but the terminal demand follow-up is general, so the upward range is not large.

3、 Future forecast

Yellow phosphorus analysts from the chemical branch of business society believe that the price of yellow phosphorus will rise this week. The yellow phosphorus market continued to be stocked before the festival, the spot on the floor was tight, the transaction price of new orders was high, and the main manufacturers issued early orders. It is expected that the price of yellow phosphorus will be high in the short term.