1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of Yunnan Guizhou yellow phosphorus rose this month. The average price of yellow phosphorus was 16900 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 17733.33 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with a slight increase of 4.93%.

2、 Market analysis

The domestic yellow phosphorus market price rose this month. Affected by environmental factors, large factories in Yunnan stop, yellow phosphorus spot is relatively tight. In the middle of April, the downstream started to prepare goods before May Day, the price of yellow phosphorus rose rapidly, and the price of new orders gradually rose. In the last ten days, the price was high, and the pre festival market was mainly for the supply of orders in the early stage. Some enterprises no longer quoted prices and suspended receiving orders. So far, the mainstream price of Yunnan yellow phosphorus is about 17600-17800 yuan / ton; The mainstream price in Sichuan is about 17700 yuan / ton; The mainstream price in Guizhou is about 17800 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw materials, the domestic phosphorus ore market continued to recover steadily in April, and the terminal downstream entered the peak season to purchase, which provided support for the price increase of phosphorus ore market. On the 6th, the market price of phosphorus ore ushered in the first large-scale price rise of this month. On the 19th, some phosphorus ore enterprises in Guizhou adjusted the price again, raising the market price of middle and low-end phosphorus ore again. Up to now, the reference price of 30% phosphate rock is 400-430 yuan / ton, 28% grade phosphate rock is 340-360 yuan / ton, and 22% grade phosphate rock is 220-260 yuan / ton. Among them, the price of 30% phosphate ore car plate of Xifeng phosphate ore mine in Guizhou was raised to 400 yuan / ton, and the price of 30% grade phosphate ore train station platform in Kaiyang Guanglong, Guizhou was raised to 420 yuan / ton.

In terms of coke, the coke markets of Shandong Port and port are still relatively strong. At present, the mainstream spot ex warehouse price of quasi primary metallurgical coke in port area is about 2500 yuan / ton, and the price of primary coke is 2600 yuan / ton, which is 120 yuan / ton higher than that of the previous trading day. The port trading situation is fair, the market traders are bullish in the future, and the quotations are generally on the high side. Restricted by the site, the situation of port gathering slowed down.

The downstream phosphoric acid market rose slightly this month, by about 2%. Near the May Day holiday, there are not many new orders, and the market is stabilizing. According to the monitoring of business news agency, as of April 28, the quotation in Sichuan is 4900-5650 yuan / ton, that in Yunnan is 5200 yuan / ton, that in Beijing is 4800 yuan / ton, that in Hubei is 5200-5500 yuan / ton, that in Tianjin is 5900 yuan / ton, that in Hebei is 5500 yuan / ton, and that in Guangxi is 5200-5320 yuan / ton, The price of phosphoric acid rose steadily in April.

3、 Future forecast

Yellow phosphorus analysts of business society chemical branch believe that the domestic yellow phosphorus market price rose this month, and the spot on the floor continued to be tight. The price of phosphorus ore and coke in the upstream rose, while the price of phosphoric acid in the downstream rose. The market price is basically stable before the festival, and it is expected that the price of yellow phosphorus will be stable temporarily in the short term.