Weak operation of monoammonium phosphate and stable market of diammonium phosphate (8.30-9.5)

1、 Price trend

Melamine

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 3566 yuan / ton on August 30 and 3516 yuan / ton on September 5. The price of monoammonium phosphate fell by 1.40% this week.

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 3605 yuan / ton on August 30 and 3605 yuan / ton on September 5. The price of diammonium phosphate was stable this week.

2、 Market analysis

Monoammonium phosphate continued its weak trend this week, and the price continued to fall. The operating rate of enterprises this week was 64%, down from last week. At present, the market center of gravity has declined significantly, and most enterprises offer uncertain prices, which are discussed on a single basis. The current market of downstream compound fertilizer is poor, and the purchase of raw materials is reduced. Although the raw phosphorus ore and sulfur increased significantly, the price of Monoammonium decreased significantly due to the weakening of domestic demand and the increase of inventory. The factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in China is 3400-3550 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of 58% powdered ammonium is about 3800 yuan / ton.

The price of diammonium phosphate was stable this week. The operating rate of enterprises this week was 62%, up from last week. At present, most diammonium enterprises mainly issue early orders and do not receive payment temporarily. Due to the small supply of goods, the enterprise will not quote for the time being, and the market is generally stable. Due to the strong demand at home and abroad, the market of diammonium phosphate continued to improve. The factory quotation of 64% mainstream diammonium in Hubei is 3550-3650 yuan / ton, and that of 64% mainstream diammonium in North China is 3400-3500 yuan / ton.

As for raw phosphorus ore, the market price of phosphorus ore in many regions in China rose sharply again this week. The main reason for the rise is that there is a shortage of phosphorus ore in stock in mines. Medium and high-grade phosphorus ore in some mines in Guizhou is out of stock, which is only supplied to contract users and no new orders are received. The prices of other tight mines also began to rise at the beginning of the week, which is a large increase.

3、 Future forecast

Ammonium phosphate analysts of business society believe that the current market situation of Monoammonium is weak and the downstream procurement is poor. The price of raw materials is rising, and enterprises are under great pressure. It is expected that the price of monoammonium phosphate may continue to decline in the short term. At present, the demand for diammonium is good, and the industry is mostly optimistic. The rise of raw materials is favorable support, with a large number of pending orders and a small supply of goods. It is expected that diammonium phosphate will operate stably and firmly in the short term.

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