1、 Price trend
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According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price trend of soda ash first fell and then rose this week. As of July 21, the average market price of soda ash was 1166 yuan/ton, a decrease of 8 yuan/ton compared to the soda ash price of 1174 yuan/ton on July 14, a decrease of 0.68%.
2、 Market analysis
The soda ash market has been fluctuating recently. In the early stage, due to the recovery of some maintenance devices on the supply side, market supply increased, and business confidence was insufficient. In addition, downstream production decreased, resulting in weak demand for soda ash and a weak downward shift in the focus of soda ash transactions; The guidance of later policy messages has driven the main futures contracts to fluctuate upwards, while downstream purchases have increased. Driven by market sentiment, the price of soda ash has slightly rebounded. On July 21st, the price of light soda ash in East China was raised by 20 yuan/ton, with a price range of 1100-1200 yuan/ton; Light soda ash in Central China has been raised by 40 yuan/ton, with a price range of 1140-1250 yuan/ton.
According to the price monitoring of Shengyi Society, in the 28th week of 2025 (7.14-7.18), there were 1 commodity that rose, 3 commodities that fell, and 2 commodities with zero rise and fall in the chlor alkali industry price list. The main commodities that have risen are: caustic soda (0.23%); The main commodities experiencing a decline are: light soda ash (-1.36%), baking soda (-1.29%), and PVC (-0.17%). The average increase or decrease this week is -0.43%.
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the downstream glass market has slightly increased. From July 14th to 21st, the price of glass increased from 14.10 yuan/square meter to 14.68 yuan/square meter, an increase of 4.11%. Some production lines in the glass market are still undergoing cold repairs, and the overall operating rate has not changed much. However, downstream demand has increased, and glass inventory has been significantly reduced, resulting in a strong upward trend in price.
Future forecast: Currently, the price trend of soda ash is rising, and the mentality of industry players is quite high. With the boost of policy news, downstream demand has also improved, but the overall supply and demand are still weak, which may have a certain degree of suppression on the increase of soda ash prices. It is expected that the soda ash market will fluctuate in the later stage, and prices may rise slightly. Please pay attention to downstream demand for follow-up.
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