Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, as of July 23, the average price of domestic aggregated MDI market was 12700 yuan/ton, which was 625 yuan/ton higher than the lowest price in a month (6.17), an increase of 5.18%, a decrease of 34.65% compared with the same period last year, and the overall market situation was relatively strong.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Domestic aggregated MDI market quotation is relatively strong, the focus of negotiation is difficult to move up. Towards the end of the month, traders are scarce in supply, reluctant to sell mainly, and the quotation is mainly increased. On the other hand, the downstream inquiries are still light, and it is difficult to improve in the short term. However, in view of the stringent control of the manufacturer’s goods and the obvious market intentions, with the gradual improvement of market demand, there is still room to explore the market price of aggregated MDI. Traders are now traveling with the shipment, cautiously watching the manufacturer’s price guidance and supply policy.

On the market side, the market price of aggregated MDI in South China is on the strong side. On-site supply is slightly tight. Towards the end of the month, the holders are reluctant to sell, and high prices are difficult to conclude transactions. The operators are cautious about the dynamics of the manufacturers. The market of aggregated MDI in East China is strong and the turnover is weak. There are not many goods in the yard, and the holders are reluctant to sell, but they just need small orders downstream. The aggregate MDI market in North China is shaking strongly. Supplier manufacturers control the market, near the end of the month, holders are reluctant to sell mainly, quotation is strong, but downstream inquiries are relatively light.

Industry chain: raw materials, pure benzene: pure benzene US dollar plate continued to fall, suppressing market enthusiasm. The downstream is cautious in picking up goods, and the business holds a weak expectation of the future market. Aniline: Because the upstream raw material pure benzene US dollar plate falls unceasingly, the market mentality is cautious, in addition to Shandong Jinling pure benzene tender price stock falls expectations, and at present the downstream aniline factory parking restriction is more, the demand is weak, in the short term the aniline Market stable price shipment primarily.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business Cooperatives: Aggregate MDI market prices to break the multi-day stalemate, traders have a strong price mentality, there are good expectations for the future market. Business Association aggregate MDI analysts expect that the short-term domestic aggregate MDI market will remain strong.

Price Trend

According to the data of business associations, the domestic market price of monoammonium phosphate has been running steadily this week. The average price of powder ammonium is 2200 yuan per ton at the beginning of the week and 2200 yuan per ton at the end of the week.

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the domestic market price of diammonium phosphate has been running steadily this week, with 64% of diammonium granules leaving the factory at an average price of 2500 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 2500 yuan/ton at the end of the week.

II. Market Analysis

Monoammonium phosphate: There is no obvious change in the domestic market price of monoammonium phosphate. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Anhui province is 2100-2200 yuan/ton, and the start-up is stable; the price of 60% ammonium powder in Hubei province is 2300-2400 yuan/ton, and the overall operation is stable; the market in Henan province is stable, and the price of 55% ammonium powder in Anhui province is 2100 yuan/ton, and the start-up is stable. The overall start-up rate of enterprises is about 50%.

Diammonium phosphate: The domestic diammonium market is weak. At present, 64% of diammonium in Hubei is quoted at 2400-2600 yuan/ton, 64% of diammonium in Shandong is quoted at 2400-2500 yuan/ton, and 64% of diammonium in Yunnan is quoted at 2700 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: upstream domestic phosphoric acid enterprises started stable, spot supply is tight, due to the rise of yellow phosphorus, phosphoric acid holders high offer. Domestic sulfur market prices rose slightly and supply and demand were balanced. Maintaining stable operation of domestic phosphate ore market is dominant, with small fluctuations in some areas. Domestic liquid ammonia market has little fluctuation, moderate price and steady market. Downstream compound fertilizer enterprises are cautious in taking goods and remain on the sidelines.

3. Future Market Forecast

Ammonium phosphate analysts of business associations believe that ammonium is mainly used in the previous orders, while a small number of downstream compound fertilizer enterprises follow up, most of them are cautious and wait-and-see attitude. The ammonium market may run steadily in the short run. From the demand point of view, diammonium is in the off-season, the market is weak, the demand is very small, the international market is flat, and the price of diammonium is expected to remain weak and stable in the later period.

Price Trend

According to the data from the business associations’list, the price trend of domestic TDI market has been stable this week. At the beginning of the week, the average market price in eastern China was about 14,000 yuan/ton. At the end of the week, the average market price in eastern China was about 14,000 yuan/ton. During the week, the price was flat, down 58.80% year on year.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the TDI market in eastern China is deadlocked and the price trend is stable. This week, the atmosphere on the venue is still light, single transactions are not smooth, business offers remain stable and follow the market. As of the 19th, the quotation of domestic goods with tickets in East China is 13500-13700 yuan/ton, that of Shanghai is 13700-13800 yuan/ton, that of South China is 13600-13700 yuan/ton, that of Shanghai is 13800-14000 yuan/ton, and that of North China is 13700-13800 yuan/ton. 13400-13600 yuan/ton, Shanghai goods with tickets out of warehouse offer reference 13600-13800 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: The price trend of nitric acid in the upstream is stable, and the market price is about 1756.67 yuan/ton in a week, which is stable; the mainstream quotation of nitric acid in Jiangsu is 1720 yuan/ton, and the quotation is temporarily stable, and the demand of nitric acid market is still acceptable. The quotation of the manufacturer is basically stable, and the quotation of individual manufacturer is somewhat loose. The nitric acid shipment situation is general. The toluene market price was stable from the beginning of the week to the middle of the week. Driven by the drop in oil prices in the second half of the week, the price began to recover. At present, the mainstream price in East China is around 5400-5450 yuan/ton, with a drop of 0.34% in the week.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to the analysis of business association data analysts: the domestic TDI market is stagnant, the overall atmosphere in the field is still depressed, the demand side lacks substantive support, the transaction follow-up is not smooth, and the main business is to make more offers to maintain stability and negotiate shipment. Short-term or moderate strong shocks are expected.

1. Melamine price trend:

According to the data from the business associations’list, as of July 19, the market price of melamine had risen. At present, the mainstream price of melamine in China is 5800-7200 yuan/ton, which is 3.78% higher than that at the beginning of the week and 4.92% higher than that on June 19.

II. Market analysis:

Products: Melamine market price rises. Enterprises often carry out pre-purchase in advance, without pressure on delivery. Recently, part of the overhaul equipment started to start, the market start-up rate has rebounded, and downstream terminal demand performance is general.

Industry chain: the upstream urea market is stagnant, the mainstream ex-factory prices have fallen slightly, the trading atmosphere is light, there is no favorable demand for agriculture and industry, and the downstream receipt enthusiasm is general.

3. Future market forecast:

According to the business association’s forecast, the short-term domestic melamine market will be mainly stable operation.

Price Trend

According to the data of business associations, driven by the rise in crude oil, domestic xylene market prices continued to rise last week, with a weekly increase of about 2.5%.

II. Analytical Review

1. Products: The market price of xylene was stable from the beginning of the week to the middle of the week. Driven by the rebound of oil price in the second half of the week, the price began to rise. At present, the mainstream price in East China is about 5600-5650 yuan/ton.

2. Industrial chain:

Upstream, crude oil, this week oil prices changed from last week’s decline, a strong rebound, Brent crude oil futures rose about 4.4% this week, WTI crude oil futures rose about 4.9% this week.

Downstream, PX market, downstream PTA prices rise, overlapping Global trade has good expectations, terminal textile exports are expected to increase, PX downstream market is supported, short-term prices still have room to rise; OX market, phenyl market is mixed, the future phenyl clean-up operation, market stability.

3. Future Market Forecast

Xylene analysts from Business, Social and Chemical Branch believe that the toluene market is expected to pull back slightly next Tuesday. For international crude oil, we need to focus on the situation in the United States and Iraq and the fluctuation of demand for crude oil in the global economic outlook.

I. Trend of Rare Earth Market

As of July 12, the weekend price of Pr-Nd oxides was 32500 yuan/ton, the price trend dropped 4.44% and increased 2.71% year-on-year; the domestic reference quotation of dysprosium-iron alloys was 19200 yuan/ton, the price trend declined 1.29% and increased 62.71% year-on-year; and the domestic reference quotation of Pr-Nd alloys was 41.44%. 5,000 yuan per ton, the price trend fell by 4.60%, 3.82% year on year; the mainstream price of praseodymium oxide was 405,000 yuan per ton, the price trend was temporarily stable, down 1.22% year on year; the mainstream price of dysprosium oxide was 192,000 yuan per ton, the price trend was down 1.29%, up 66.23% year on year; the price of neodymium oxide was 324,500 yuan per ton, and the price trend was down. 4.42%, down 0.15% year on year; neodymium quotation is 41500 yuan/ton, price trend is 4.60%, flat year on year; praseodymium ex-factory quotation is 710000 yuan/ton, price trend is temporarily stable, up 7.58% year on year; dysprosium ex-factory mainstream quotation is 24000 yuan/ton, price trend is temporarily stable, up 47.69% year on year.

II. Rare Earth Price Index

On July 12, the rare earth index was 386 points, unchanged from yesterday, down 61.40% from the cyclical peak of 1000 points (2011-12-06), and up 42.44% from the lowest point of 271 on September 13, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-12-01 to date).

III. Market Analysis

Recently, the prices of some products in the rare earth market have declined. Most commodity prices in the rare earth market have been stable. However, the prices of some products in the rare earth market have fallen recently. The prices of dysprosium and terbium metals have fallen. Recently, the prices of praseodymium and neodymium series products have declined. The supply in the rare earth market is normal, and the prices of light rare earths have declined recently. The price fluctuation of rare earth market is related to environmental protection supervision in the whole country. Rare earth production has its particularity, especially the radiation hazard of some products, which makes environmental protection supervision stricter. Under the strict environmental protection inspection, rare earth separation enterprises in many provinces have stopped production, resulting in a general market of rare earth oxides. Recently, the rare earth market has turned to the seller’s market. The manufacturers have reasonable control over sales and are reluctant to sell. Especially for some mainstream rare earth oxides, the supply performance is still tense. The price trend of rare earth market has slightly declined. Recently, large enterprise groups on the market are reluctant to sell. The market trend of rare earth is poor. However, major manufacturers are cautious about the pricing of products.

Recently, the State Environmental Protection Department has made no reduction in its stringent efforts, which has a greater impact on the rare earth industry. The rare earth industry has a low start-up and a cold market. At the recent press conference on macroeconomic operation held by the Development and Reform Commission, Meng Wei, spokesman of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), answering reporters’questions on rare earth, said that on the basis of in-depth investigation and scientific demonstration, relevant policies and measures would be put forward to give full play to the special value of rare earth as a strategic resource. Due to the increasingly obvious regulatory effect, the supply of raw ore resources in the upstream of the rare earth industry has shrunk, and the trading market of the rare earth industry has declined.

IV. Future Prospects

Rare earth analysts from business associations expect that domestic environmental stringency will not diminish in the near future, coupled with domestic rectification of the order of the rare earth industry, Myanmar restricts exports and reduces supply, but rare earth market transactions are limited in the near future, and some prices in the rare earth market are expected to fall.

Price trends:

The crude benzol commodity index on July 12 was 62.64, unchanged from yesterday, down 52.49% from the cyclical peak of 131.84 points (2013-01-28), and up 59.59% from the lowest point of 39.25 on December 22, 2014. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date).

II. Market analysis:

Domestic market: The domestic crude benzene market has been rising since June, mainly boosted by the sharp rise in the external market of pure benzene. Sinopec has raised its listing price several times, up to 5250 yuan/ton on the 12th day. In addition, the inventory of pure benzene ports has been declining for a long time. Market participants are still bullish on the future market of pure benzene. Market demand: In recent years, the starting rate of hydrobenzene enterprises is gradually rising, many decoration projects are started, or some enterprises have restart plans, the demand for crude benzene will increase, boosting the crude benzene market. In terms of market supply, coking enterprises have started construction more steadily in the near future, with stable supply, high initiative and stable supply.

Industry Chain: Crude Oil: Oil prices showed a slight rebound after falling this week. Overall, Brent fell nearly 2% compared with last week, and WTI fell more than 4%. Oil prices fell early in the week on fears of a slowdown. On Wednesday, news of three consecutive weeks of decline in U.S. crude oil inventories and a nine-month extension of OPEC’s cut-off agreement boosted oil prices. Oil prices rose twice this week. After the second increase, downstream conflicting sentiment was strong and pure benzene speculation eased. Pure benzene: Pure benzene market enthusiasm is high. Monday was the beginning of the month, as the contract delivery task was completed at the end of June, the enthusiasm for market surge eased. On Tuesday, news began that South Korea exported only 20,000 tons of pure benzene to China in June, and the stock of East China Port declined, boosting the market, the market sentiment was strong.

3. Trend forecast:

Recent positive factors have been released centrally. Most of the pure benzene market is optimistic. Inventories in East China continue to decline. Hydrobenzene companies in downstream areas have started construction. It is expected that the crude benzene market will still have room for growth next week, with an increase of about 100 yuan/ton.

Price Trend

Business associations: MTBE market prices rose this week (July 7-July 13)

According to data from business associations, MTBE’s price this weekend was 5250 yuan/ton, up 1.81% from the previous week’s price.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Gasoline market price rose 4.87%, domestic MTBE market will rise this week.

Industry chain: MTBE spot price in South China continued to rise during this period; Shandong rebounded after the fall. In South China, Sinopec’s MTBE demand is large this month, and the enthusiasm of oil regulators has also increased. MTBE is still in short supply and manufacturers are actively pushing up. In Shandong, MTBE demand has improved and prices have rebounded rapidly supported by less supply.

3. Future Market Forecast

Analysts of MTBE products of Business Society Energy Branch believe that the supply of MTBE is still on the tight side from the basic point of view, and the market of MTBE will continue to rise if there is still a positive increase in demand.

I. Acrylic acid price trend:

The average acrylic acid price as of July 10 was 7600.00 yuan/ton, which was flat with the price on July 9, and the market was temporarily stable, down 4.20% compared with June 10, according to the data from the business associations’list.

II. Market analysis:

Product: Acrylic acid market is stable for the time being. The price of raw materials market is high, the cost is low, the profit is high, the pressure of factories is high, and the atmosphere of market pushing is strong. At present, the price of acrylic acid in Shandong Yukang Chemical Co., Ltd. is stable. Propionic acid 7800 yuan / ton, refined acid 8600 yuan / ton, the specific transaction price, the facts.

Industry chain: Upstream propylene prices in Shandong continued to rise slightly as of the 10th. Recently, the price of propylene enterprises in Shandong Province began to rise on July 2, and rose by 400 yuan/ton on July 5. After a few days of stabilization, the price rose by 50-100 yuan/ton on September 9 and 50 yuan/ton on October 10. At present, the mainstream transaction in the market is about 8050-8250 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price is as high as 8150 yuan/ton.

3. Future market forecast:

According to business associations, the short-term domestic acrylic acid market may be dominated by stable operation.

Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the domestic methanol market fell as a whole this week. At the beginning of the week, the average domestic methanol market price was 2178 yuan/ton. At the end of the week, it was 2160 yuan/ton. Within the week, the price fell by 0.83%, 23.18% compared with the same period last year.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Although the domestic methanol market declined further this week, with the increase of middlemen’s air-filling operations, futures up to more than 2300 and the good news of Baofeng, Nanjing Chengzhi Phase II MTO meeting expectations, etc. news boosted; sales in the main producing areas were smooth, and port trends were relatively strong. Nanjing Chengzhi Phase II newly built 600,000 tons methanol to olefin unit was commissioned at the end of June. At present, the unit is running smoothly. As of Wednesday (7.3), the total stock of ports in eastern and southern China was 799,400 tons, up 346,000 tons annually.

Industry chain: formaldehyde: This week, the formaldehyde market shocks down. This week, the methanol market in many places fell to a low level, the cost support was weak, and the downstream market demand was light. Under the influence of bad news, the offer of formaldehyde enterprises in many places was lowered, and the actual single transaction was normal. Acetic acid: The domestic acetic acid market is stable this week. At the beginning of the week, the domestic acetic acid plant is running steadily, and the spot market is increasing continuously. As a result, some enterprises in central China appear preferential negotiation, which aggravates the hollow market. But at present, the four major East China suppliers are still tight, which gives support to market stability. In the mid-week period, Shanghai Huayi 1.2 million tons acetic acid plant reduced its load to 4-50% operation, and is expected to resume within one week. Moreover, Jiangsu Soap acetic acid plant continued to operate 80% of the total, which intensified the supply shortage in East China and gave strong support to export quotations. Dimethyl ether: This week, dimethyl ether prices fell weakly and the trading atmosphere was general. After last week’s price bottoming, the northern market ushered in a periodic replenishment period. Henan market rebounded slightly over the weekend. By Tuesday (July 2), end-user inventory saturation was gradually leaving the market. At the same time, the leading enterprises in Western Henan had increased their load, and the enterprises were unable to push up. The trading atmosphere was once again deadlocked, and the focus of negotiations was on one after another. Step down.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business Cooperative Viewpoint: On the positive side, there are still some scheduled overhauls of methanol plants in July, including Shenmu, Yankuang Yulin, Xianyang Chemistry and other enterprises in Shaanxi; Jiutai MTO plant in Inner Mongolia is currently in full capacity production and methanol is being purchased one after another; Chengzhi MTO phase II in Nanjing is in trial production at the end of June; Shandong Luxi MTO is expected to be commissioned in July; Baofeng, Ningxia Outbound factories shipped smoothly this week, and most factories had lower inventories. On the negative side, Shenhua Yulin MTO plant is expected to be overhauled in July for 20 days; the domestic methanol plant is expected to remain at a high level, and it is expected to remain above 70% next week, with abundant local supply; due to safety, environmental protection inspection and other factors, local market terminal enterprises stop, affecting methanol consumption. After this week’s deep decline, the profitability of some downstream products has improved, such as propylene, formaldehyde and so on, and the market prices in Inner Mongolia and other places have fallen to the cost line level, so the speculative intention of some operators has increased; methanol analysts of business associations expect that the domestic methanol market will temporarily stop falling next week; however, the basic supply of products. Pressure has been highlighted and demand has not been significantly increased. It is expected that the medium-term market will still need to pay attention to the progress of new MTO devices.

1.Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market price of diammonium phosphate fell this week. At the beginning of the week, the average price of domestic diammonium phosphate was 2616 yuan/ton, while the average price of domestic diammonium phosphate was 2500 yuan/ton at the end of the week, which was lower than that of last week.

II. Market Analysis

Product: The domestic market price of diammonium phosphate has been lowered this week. At present, 64% of diammonium in Hubei is quoted at 2400-2600 yuan/ton, 64% of diammonium in Shandong is quoted at 2400-2500 yuan/ton, and 64% of diammonium in Yunnan is quoted at 2700 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: In terms of raw materials, the phosphate ore market is still stable in the short term, with little price fluctuation. Phosphoric acid market prices have dropped, the current price has fallen to a low level, the market demand has increased. The domestic liquid ammonia Market in the main producing areas slightly declined.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to the analyst of diammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate is in the off-season of demand, the supply exceeds the demand, and the price of diammonium is seriously depressed in the international market. From the supply point of view, the price of raw phosphoric acid and liquid ammonia has been lowered in an all-round way, and the price of diammonium is expected to remain weak in the later period.

Price Trend

According to the business association’s data, the price of pure benzene in China rose sharply this week, rising 200-300 yuan/ton. This week, the highest price of pure benzene appeared from Thursday to Friday, and the price was 4900-5050 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.95% compared with last week.

II. Analytical Review

1. Products: This week, the domestic pure benzene market is very enthusiastic. Monday was the beginning of the month, as the contract delivery task was completed at the end of June, the enthusiasm for market surge eased. On Tuesday, news began that South Korea exported only 20,000 tons of pure benzene to China in June, and the stock of East China Port declined, boosting the market, the market sentiment was strong.

2. Crude oil: This week, oil prices showed a slight rebound trend after falling. Overall, Brent fell nearly 2% compared with last week, and WTI fell more than 4%. Oil prices fell early in the week on fears of a slowdown. On Wednesday, news of three consecutive weeks of decline in U.S. crude oil inventories and a nine-month extension of OPEC’s cut-off agreement boosted oil prices. Oil prices rose twice this week. After the second increase, downstream conflicting sentiment was strong and pure benzene speculation eased.

3. Downstream: The price of styrene rose by 2.27% this week, supporting the price of pure benzene.

4. External trading: US pure benzene prices continue to slump, Asia-US price gap continues to narrow, threatening the Chinese market, CFR China negotiations began to increase recently.

III. Future Market Forecast

1. Crude oil: Next week, although the upward momentum of oil prices is slightly weakened by market worries, OPEC production reduction is prolonged, and the bottom support of the decline in U.S. crude oil inventories is more obvious, and the overall trend of oscillation and warming will continue.

2. Domestic market: Sinopec’s listing price still lags behind the spot market. There is still much room for the increase of listing price in July, which will boost the market. Moreover, the inventory of East China Port has been declining, and the pick-up speed has been significantly improved compared with the previous period, and the market is expected to be further supported.

3. External trading: US spot resources arrived and prices began to fall, but the Asian-American window remained open. Short-term Korean resources still flowed to the US arbitrage, which supported domestic spot prices.

Taking into account, next week’s pure benzene market may continue a slight upward trend, but the increase is limited.

On July 3, the fluorite commodity index was 109.21, unchanged from yesterday, down 14.34% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 121.93% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, with the average domestic fluorite price of 312.5 yuan/ton as of the 4th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant in the field started normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is rising. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite market is on demand. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of the 4th day, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market in downstream fluorite is rising. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12070 yuan/ton as of the 4th day. The price fluctuation of hydrofluoric acid market has a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general. The demand for fluorite is weakening and the price fluctuation of fluorite is running. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal and the price of fluorite is rising. Chen Ling, an analyst of business associations, believes that the price of fluorite market may remain volatile.

Price Trend

In June 2019, the domestic tin ingot Market rose first and then fell. The average price of the domestic market was 143412.50 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month and 14331.50 yuan/ton at the end of the week, with a decrease of 0.07%.

On June 28, the tin commodity index was 73.00, up 0.13 points from yesterday, down 27.18% from the cyclical peak of 100.25 points (2011-09-05), and up 70.32% from the lowest point of 42.86 on December 09, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date).

II. Market Analysis

Domestic market: In June, spot prices followed the trend of Shanghai and Tin, rising first and then falling. At the end of the month, the main spot prices returned to 142,500-144,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month, with a monthly drop of 100 yuan/ton. In terms of supply, this month, the market supply of goods is normal, mainly low-price brands and ordinary cloud words. Among them, low-price small brands are more popular than popular ones. In terms of general cloud words and small brands, the price is basically stable at 400-1500 yuan per ton of stickers, and the price of Yunxi stickers is 200-500 yuan per ton.

Import and Export: According to data released by Indonesia’s Ministry of Trade on June 14, Jakarta, Indonesia’s refined tin export volume in May was 6,759.26 tons, a 46% decrease over the same period last year. Indonesia is the world’s largest tin exporter. Indonesia’s tin refining exports increased by 15% in May.

London, June 19, 2010 – The World Bureau of Metal Statistics (WBMS) reported a shortage of 4,700 tons in the global tin market from January to April 2019. The total reported inventory increased by 3,800 tons compared with the end of 2018, including an increase of 6,000 tons in Indonesian inventory for unknown reasons. From January to April 2019, the world reported a 2,200-ton decline in refined tin production and a 2,200-ton decrease in Asian production. China’s apparent demand fell 1.1% year on year. The global demand for tin from January to April 2019 was 112,000 tons, down 0.6% from the same period last year. Japan’s consumption was 9,100 tons, an increase of 93% over the same period last year. In April 2019, the global production of refined tin was 29,000 tons and consumption was 30,100 tons.

Domestic events:

Oxford Photovoltaic is moving towards the next generation of tin-based solar cells: Oxford PV plans to market tin-based perovskite-based solar cells by the end of next year. The conversion efficiency of tin halide solar cells into photovoltaic energy is about 27%. They are cheaper, more efficient and easier to produce than standard solar panels. The International Tin Association believes that this technology is one of the next generation renewable energy technologies, which will be conducive to the demand for tin.

GSMA: Over the next seven years, Asian operators will invest $370 billion in 5G: On June 26, GSMA (Global Association of Mobile Communication Systems) released the latest report of Mobile Economy Asia-Pacific edition in MWC19 Shanghai today, which shows that Asian operators plan to invest $370 billion to build a new 5G network between 2018 and 2025. It is expected that by 2025, all 24 Asia-Pacific markets will launch 5G. It is predicted that 5G will contribute nearly 900 billion US dollars to the region’s economy in the next 15 years.

3. Prospects for the Future Market

As we enter July next week, there are many and concentrated economic data at home and abroad. The US dollar index is feared to rise again at a low level. Basic metals are still facing various risks. If the varieties have strong fundamentals, they can still maintain a more diversified pattern, and the differentiation of basic metals will be obvious.

Price Trend

According to the data of business associations, the price trend of cryolite market was stable this week, and the average price of cryolite market was stable at about 6333.33 yuan/ton during the week, down 2.99% from the same period last year.

II. Market Analysis

Product: Cryolite prices are running smoothly this week, and there is no price adjustment for manufacturers. Up to 28 days, Zibo Kunyu Industry and Trade Cryolite quoted 6500 yuan/ton; Changshu Hongjiafu Co., Ltd. Cryolite quoted 7300 yuan/ton; Jiaozuo Civilian Benefit Industrial Cryolite quoted 7000 yuan/ton; Zhengzhou Tianrui Cryolite quoted 6500 yuan/ton; Shandong Botao Group Co., Ltd. Cryolite quoted 7000 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: The domestic fluorite market price rose slightly this week. The weekend price was 3100 yuan/ton, which was 0.81% higher than that at the beginning of the week and 17.20% higher than that at the beginning of the week. Domestic fluorite prices have risen slightly this week, and the start-up rate of fluorite plants has not changed much. However, downstream demand has improved. The spot supply of fluorite in the field is normal. Influenced by many factors, the price of fluorite has risen slightly. Downstream electrolytic aluminium: This week, the price of aluminium is tidying up and running. The price is slightly lowered. At the beginning of the week, the price keeps around 13853.33 yuan/ton, at the end of the week, it is about 13830.00 yuan/ton, and the price is down by 0.17%.

3. Future Market Forecast

Analysts of the cryolite industry of Business Society Chemical Branch believe that the price of fluorite in the upper reaches of cryolite has increased slightly, while the price of aluminium in the lower reaches has decreased slightly, and the market of cryolite is expected to maintain stable operation in the later period.

I. Trend analysis

According to the monitoring data of business associations, this week’s domestic cobalt market shocks fell, and overall cobalt prices were unable to rebound. As of June 23, the cobalt price was 238166.67 yuan/ton, down 0.97% from 240500.00 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week. Compared with the previous period, the price of cobalt fell slightly in June, the decline slowed down, and the cobalt market remained basically stable.

II. Declining International Cobalt Price

International market MB quotation fell this week, the global market of cobalt was cold, the international price of cobalt rose powerlessly, and the decline of international cobalt price dragged down the domestic market of cobalt.

The cobalt price in LME market remained stable this week. The international cobalt market had no upward momentum. The global cobalt market was short. The domestic market was dragged down by the international market.

III. Cobalt Index

On June 24, the Cobalt Commodity Index was 85.19, down 0.48 points from yesterday, down 64.34% from the cyclical peak of 238.91 points (2018-04-15), and up 21.98% from the lowest point of 69.84 on July 05, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date). From the cobalt price index, we can see that the cobalt price has fallen by more than 60% compared with the historical high, and the cobalt price is infinitely close to the low point of cobalt price in the cycle. At present, the global supply of cobalt is abundant, which leads to a slow rebound of cobalt price. However, with the cobalt price approaching the cyclical low of cobalt price, the falling space of cobalt price is limited, and the future cobalt price may increase.

Fourth, the outlook for the future market:

Bai Jiaxin, a data analyst for business associations, believes that the decline in international cobalt prices has dragged down the rebound of domestic cobalt prices, and that the recent rise in domestic cobalt prices is not motivated enough. However, as can be seen from the Cobalt Commodity Index, there is limited space for cobalt to fall, and future market gains may increase. Overall, the cobalt market is still in a state of oversupply at the present stage. The profit margin of cobalt market is greater than the profit margin. It is difficult for cobalt price to rise in the near future. With the gradual warming of cobalt Market demand, the driving force of cobalt price rise is gradually rising. It is expected that cobalt price shocks will remain stable in the short term.

On June 23, the fluorite commodity index was 107.89, unchanged from yesterday, down 15.37% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 119.24% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, domestic fluorite prices have maintained a high trend, the average domestic fluorite price is 3075 yuan/ton as of 24 days. Recently, domestic fluorite plants have been operating normally, mines and flotation plants have been operating normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream has risen recently. For the fluorite market, the price of fluorite market has risen on demand. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of the 24th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market in downstream fluorite is rising. As of 24 days, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 190 yuan/ton. The price fluctuation of hydrofluoric acid market has a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general, the demand for fluorite is weakening and the price fluctuation of fluorite is running. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the price of on-site transactions does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal and the price of fluorite is rising. Chen Ling, an analyst of business associations, believes that the price of fluorite market may rise slightly.

1. Melamine price trend:

According to the price monitoring of business associations: as of June 21, the market of melamine has been stable. At present, the mainstream price of domestic melamine is 5300-7200 yuan/ton, which is stable compared with the beginning of the week.

II. Market analysis:

Products: The domestic market for melamine has been stable this week. Downstream demand is sluggish, and the market lacks strong positive factors to support it.

Industry chain: The domestic market of liquid ammonia in the upstream is tidied up slightly, the market performance is weak, the market turnover is still acceptable, the inventory pressure of manufacturers is not large, normal delivery.

3. Future market forecast:

According to business associations, the short-term domestic melamine market may be dominated by weak consolidation and operation. Some distributors are tentative hoarding, which is expected to drive up the market price of melamine, but the price increase still needs to pay close attention to the changes in the start-up rate of production enterprises.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of June 18, the latest domestic price of cyclohexanone was 8066 yuan/ton, and the domestic market of cyclohexanone was slightly up.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Cyclohexanone market prices rose slightly, chemical fiber market continued to be weak, Honda Cyclohexanone parking overhaul, solvent market buying atmosphere is still acceptable, other factories quoted higher, the market wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is delivered in 7900-8000 cash, the mainstream offer in East China market is delivered in 8200-8300 cash, and the mainstream offer in South China market is delivered in 8500-8700 cash.

Industry chain: pure benzene: the center of gravity of pure benzene in East China has dropped rationally. Among them, spot negotiation is 4720-4770 yuan/ton, June negotiation is 4750-4790 yuan/ton, July negotiation is 4780-4830 yuan/ton. At present, the on-site negotiation is over 4700 yuan per ton, but due to the narrowing of the price gap between the internal and external discs, there is resistance to the high-end rally. Caprolactam: The liquid spot market of caprolactam is running smoothly, the factory has limited production and guaranteed price, the decline of caprolactam has slowed down, and downstream polymerization just needs to be purchased. The spot price of caprolactam liquid is about 1,1700 yuan/ton, which is accepted and delivered; the solid market is consolidated, and the trader delivers with him. The price of common material is 12,500 yuan/ton, which is remitted to us now.

3. Future Market Forecast

There is no plan for short-term cyclohexanone spot delivery, but manufacturers have spot pressure. Weiming Petrochemical plans to put into operation 150,000 tons of phenol-based cyclohexanone unit in July and Huafeng plans to put into operation 200,000 tons of cyclohexanone unit in July. It is expected that the spot pressure will continue to increase next week. From the cost point of view, the pure benzene market is slightly upward adjustment, and the cost support is relatively stable. On the demand side, the start-up load of caprolactam market is obviously reduced, the demand for cyclohexanone is less, and the support of chemical fiber market is weak. Generally speaking, the supply of cyclohexanone may exceed the demand. Cyclohexanone analysts, business associations, predict that the recent market consolidation of cyclohexanone.

Price Trend

According to business association monitoring data, this week the silicone market is stable at low prices. At present, the market quotation of DMC is almost bottoming out. The lowest quotation is around 16,000 yuan/ton, and the trader’s quotation is around 18,000 yuan/ton.

II. Market Analysis

Products: At present, the domestic silicone market as a whole shows a weak operation. This week, the market DMC quotation fell again – 1.80% compared with last week. In terms of start-up, at present, there are some single factories parking maintenance, many single factories adjust the start-up situation, after the adjustment of start-up in about 67 floors.

Industry chain: Upstream product metal silicon prices rose slightly at the end of May, and maintained a weak and stable operation in mid-June, with low start-up rate and rising market sentiment.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business analysts believe that the start-up rate of several monomer devices began to decline, and the adjustment of the start-up rate should have an impact on the price of silicone DMC, followed by price stabilization or a slight increase.

Market Review

According to a large number of data monitored by business associations, the price of dichloromethane in Shandong rose slightly this week. At the beginning of the week, the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong was 3150 yuan/ton, and at the end of the week, the average price was 3180 yuan/ton, with an increase of 0.95% in the week.

quotations analysis

Products: This week, due to the overall supply of dichloromethane market is still tight, but the downstream market demand is still acceptable, mostly just in demand, dichloromethane enterprises slightly increased quotations, smooth shipment. At present, the quotation of bulk water remittance in Shandong is around 3180 yuan/ton, 3400-3700 yuan/ton in Jiangsu and 3550 yuan/ton in Jiangxi. In terms of start-up, at present, 50% of Jinling chemical plant is in operation; Jinmao Dongying stops and overhauls until the end of June; 60% of Shanxi chemical plant is in operation; Jiangsu science and culture plant is in normal operation; Jiangxi science and culture plant is in normal operation, etc.

Industry chain: In the upstream, the natural gas market is weak, the trading atmosphere is low, the average price at the beginning of the week is 3466 yuan/ton, the average price at the end of the week is 3426 yuan/ton, the decline rate is 1.15%. The supply of liquid chlorine market is sufficient, but the downstream market demand is weak, the price of liquid chlorine has fallen sharply, and the enterprises overreport 1-100 yuan/ton. The domestic R410a market has been shaken and adjusted. The downstream market of refrigerants has just been in demand. The trading atmosphere of the market is still acceptable, and the demand of the pharmaceutical and film industries is still good.

Future Market Forecast

Business community methane chloride data analysts believe that the current supply-side gap in the dichloromethane market is difficult to fill in a short period of time. The downstream market just needs to be stable, which is good for dichloromethane price support, and anticipates that the dichloromethane market will soar in the near future.

Price data:

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the domestic bromine market weakened slightly this week, and the industry started to work normally as a whole. At the beginning of the week, the average bromine price was maintained at about 35,000 yuan/ton. At the end of the week, the average bromine price was about 34,928 yuan/ton. Within the week, it was slightly reduced by 0.2%, which was 26.48% higher than the same period last year.

II. Cause Analysis

Products: This week, the domestic bromine market began to weaken slightly after a long period of high operation. Some enterprises lowered their quotation by 200-500 yuan/ton. The industry started normally, the enterprise shipped smoothly, the overall demand of the downstream market was still acceptable, and the situation of oversupply gradually emerged. For some start-up enterprises, such as Dongyue Fine Chemical Company, Shandong Haihua Company, Shandong Haiwang Chemical Company, Tianjin Changlu Haijing Company, etc. At present, the mainstream quotation of enterprises is between 3450-35000 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction price is based on enterprise negotiation.

Industry Chain: This week, the upstream industry of bromine has risen and fallen differently: the sulfur market rose 2.44% in the week, and the current quotation is about 980 yuan/ton; the caustic soda market has been running steadily in the week, and the current quotation is about 695 yuan/ton; the soda market has fallen sharply by 4.31% in the week, and the current quotation is about 1850 yuan/ton; the sulfuric acid price has increased slightly by 2.47% in the week, and the current quotation is about 207 yuan/ton. At present, the demand of bromine downstream flame retardant industry is stable, which is good for bromine price support, and the performance of pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediates is stable, just in need of purchase.

3. Future Market Forecast

Bromine industry analysts believe that bromine market enterprises in China are generally normal production, smooth shipment, abundant spot supply, stable downstream user demand, bromine prices are still at a high level, and yesterday the situation of oversupply gradually emerged, bromine prices are expected to decline weakly in the near future.

Price Trend Chart of Nitric Acid Market

According to the monitoring of business associations, domestic nitric acid prices rose this week, averaging 1 743 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 1 760 yuan/ton at the end of the week, up 0.96%.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the price of nitric acid in domestic market has increased slightly in some areas. The price quoted by mainstream manufacturers in Jiangsu is 1,750 yuan/ton and 50 yuan/ton. Anhui mainstream manufacturers quoted 1850 yuan per ton, up 50 yuan per ton. Shandong manufacturer quoted 1750 yuan/ton. Nitric acid supply is not much, the price has increased slightly, and the nitric acid goods are in good condition.

Industry chain: the upstream raw material of nitric acid, liquid ammonia Market in China is stabilizing, the market turnover is still acceptable, most manufacturers’quotations are stable, the northern region manufacturers’ quotations are maintained in the range of 3250-3700 yuan/ton, and the Northwest region’s quotations are in the range of 3000-3200 yuan/ton. Downstream aniline, May 27, June 5, Shandong aniline market price 5,600 yuan / ton, Nanjing aniline market price 5,950 yuan / ton, price stability, and inventory pressure.

3. Future Market Forecast

In summary, Nitric acid analysts believe that the nitric acid market will be strong in the short term.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of June 4, the latest price of domestic cyclohexanone was 8100 yuan/ton, and the domestic market of cyclohexanone was weak and stable.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Cyclohexanone market is weak, the downstream chemical fiber market is weak, the demand for cyclohexanone is less, the speed of manufacturers and markets is slowing down, the pressure of manufacturers’shipment is on the high side, the quotation has been lowered, the bullish sentiment on the future market is strong, and the actual single transaction is limited. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is sent in cash at 8100-8300, the mainstream offer in East China market is sent in cash at 8400-8600, and the mainstream offer in South China market is sent in cash at 8800-8900.

Industry Chain: Pure Benzene: Pure Benzene market lacks buying support, the focus of gravity has fallen back in the morning, of which spot is now 4450-4550 yuan/ton, and in June, the negotiations are in the range of 4500-4600 yuan/ton. At present, the decline of port inventory is relatively slow, the supply in the yard is still abundant, and the downstream maintains on-demand procurement. Caprolactam: The spot market confidence of caprolactam liquids is insufficient. The downstream polymerization plant keeps starting at a low level. The demand for caprolactam is still weak and the atmosphere in the field is not good. The liquid spot price of caprolactam is 11800-12100 yuan/ton, which is accepted and delivered; the factory price in the north is around 11500 yuan/ton, which is remitted to the factory now, the solid market is consolidated, the trader delivers with him, and the price of common material is 12500 yuan/ton, which is remitted to the factory now.

3. Future Market Forecast

Short-term cyclohexanone plant silver May 22 parking overhaul, planned to start in early June, expected next week spot export volume will increase slightly, in addition to the current manufacturers still have spot inventory pressure. From the cost point of view, the pure benzene market is consolidated horizontally, and the cost support is relatively stable. On the demand side, there is no plan to restart Nanjing Dongfang in June. Yongrong cyclohexanone plant starts normally and can basically meet the demand for caprolactam. In the short term, Shenyuan’s purchase of cyclohexanone is unlikely. Shandong Haili’s 200,000-ton caprolactam plant has maintenance plan in early June, while cyclohexanone is still unclear. Overall, however, the supply of cyclohexanone may exceed the demand. Cyclohexanone analysts at business associations expect the short-term market for cyclohexanone to remain weak.

Price Trend

The price of ethylene oxide has been adjusted today. At present, the ex-factory price in East China is 7000 yuan/ton, that in South China and North China is 7200 yuan/ton, that in Central China is 7150 yuan/ton, and that in Northeast China is 7400 yuan/ton. The ex-factory price of Jiangsu Silbang and Lianhong Group has also been adjusted today.

II. Industrial chain:

The upstream ethylene market is gradually abundant, and the price of downstream ethylene glycol has been declining slightly in recent days. According to the current price, the loss of ethylene oxide is relatively large. The market mentality of polycarboxylic acid superplasticizer monomer market is not good because of the price of ethylene oxide. It is cautious to trade and mainly depends on just demand. It is reported that Yangzi Petrochemical has increased its capacity by 400 tons, and the supply in East China is still excessive. At present, the supply and demand situation has not been improved well. Prices continue to fall, forcing private enterprises to further reduce their load. Some downstream enterprises have been unable to take goods. Parking may not be ruled out under price pressure. Northeast China is affected by Liaohua’s upcoming overhaul. Market resources are tightened, and the decline is less than that in East China.

3. Industry:

On May 30, the chemical index was 733, which maintained the overall stability. Overall, the chemical industry index has been at a low level and has not improved significantly.

Forecast:

The overall market is weak, the market bearish atmosphere is strong, follow-up needs to pay close attention to the latest factory news.

Commodity Index: On May 31, the commodity price index (BPI) was 829 points, down 2 points from yesterday, down 18.65% from the cyclical peak of 1019 points (2012-04-10), and up 25.61% from the lowest point of 660 points on February 03, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2019-04-01 to date)

Latest price (May 31): Polyacrylamide (cationic) offer 16900 yuan/ton.

Main points of analysis: On May 31, the market price of domestic polyacrylamide was relatively stable. According to the monitoring data of the commercial association (100ppi.com), the current mainstream quotation in the domestic market of polyacrylamide is: cationic (PAM, molecular weight 12 million) quotation is 16700-18 000 yuan/ton, anionic (PAM, molecular weight 12 million) quotation is about 10 000-12 000 yuan/ton; overall, the quotation of anionic PAM is basically stable, and the range of cationic PAM is about 150 yuan if there is any change./ Within the range of tons.

Industry chain: The price of upstream products of polyacrylamide has not changed much in recent years; the demand of downstream products of polyacrylamide has also not changed greatly; the overall market of polyacrylamide has remained stable in recent years.

Future market forecast: In the short term, if there is no big fluctuation in the price of raw materials in the upstream, the demand in the downstream is relatively stable, and the market price of domestic polyacrylamide is basically stable.

On May 29, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 103.36, which was the same as yesterday. It was 26.40% lower than the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and 92.87% higher than the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market rose on the 30th. Up to now, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 11490 yuan/ton, and the domestic start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on-site is tight at present, and the situation of on-site goods has improved recently. Because of the high raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers The market price of hydrofluoric acid has risen with the increase of ex-factory price. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11,000-11,500 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11,000-12,000 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand did not change very much, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market rose.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18500-19500 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price has not changed much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the shortage of supply, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market has risen.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is tight, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may continue to rise.

The domestic TDI market is characterized by incremental trading volume and terminal replenishment. Traders compete for market share and take the opportunity to clean up inventory and consume surplus. In May, there was an enormous drop, and the middlemen lacked the opportunity to deliver goods. At the end of the month, they just needed more inquiries, which made it difficult to form a strong support for the industry at present. At present, the market price of domestic goods is more than 12800 yuan/ton, and the supply of goods in Shanghai is 13200 yuan/ton. Business associations expect the TDI market to be weak and stable, and pay attention to the factory information guide.

First, the price trend Last week, the overall domestic toluene market was weak, finishing down, according to business’s bulk list data.

Early Zhou Enterprise average price is weekly high price, weekend enterprise average price is weekly low

Ii. Analysis and review 1. Crude oil: Increased concerns about global trade risks, a blow to capital markets, and the highest level of U.S. crude oil inventories since July 2017 offset the impact of OPEC production cuts and tensions in the Middle East, with U.S. stocks plummeting, international oil prices plunging and Brent 68.4-73.2 dollars/barrels.

In the short term, the crude oil market is expected to remain the main shock, there is a certain upward space. 2, FOB South Korea toluene reference price affected by crude oil, this weekend began to cut, Sinopec’s subsidiary toluene listing price cut.

In terms of inventory, port inventories have been digested this week, with around 53,000 tonnes in eastern China.

3, following last week’s toluene market recovery, price rebound, this week toluene market weak, although there is a certain positive support, but by the raw materials and demand side of the impact, the price fell.

Third, the forecast of the aftermarket Business Society Toluene analysts believe: next week, crude oil, focus on the United States crude oil 60 dollars/barrel pass can hold up, positive and negative factors affect the market at the same time, oil price mainstream fluctuation range or between 60-62 dollars/barrel. Second quarter at home and abroad more centralized maintenance, toluene expected to reduce the supply, the market expected to be optimistic, next week toluene market or can stop the decline and rise.

May 23, according to business community monitoring, the domestic liquid ammonia market slightly fell, the range of 100 yuan/ton up and down, from the beginning of the week liquid ammonia market has been adjusted loosening, especially the northern market, prices continue to fall, some manufacturers such as the downstream urea device temporary parking, resulting in greater inventory pressure, the market supply significantly increased,

Reverse transaction But performance standoff, manufacturers most inventory pressure upward trend, part of the maintenance-oriented, north China’s Inner Mongolia Fu Feng is still in the maintenance period, the northern region manufacturers offer to maintain in 3000-3500 yuan/ton range, northwest China quotes in 2800-3000 yuan/ton up and down, manufacturers normal shipments, downstream manufacturers rational procurement. After the market, business Society believes that this week the market may continue to weaken, but because many manufacturers are currently in the maintenance period, the late-track inventory process is expected to speed up, the markets will return to stability.

Border trade traders in the Russian side to negotiate the monthly orders, Oral Potash adhere to the Chinese June order prices in May on the basis of the continued rise, but based on the current border trade market price is low, has fallen below the cost, so may be suspended in June with the Russian border trading orders, border control sources or will face a relatively tense situation,

The possibility of a small correction in the price is not ruled out.

Northwest Salt Lake, Tibetan production restrictions began to start, another recent in Kunlun Mountain area snowfall, steam transport capacity phase reduction, manufacturers production and marketing operation Conservative. Now domestic SALT Lake Benchmark products 60 Crystal National Iron first station quote 2350 yuan/ton, market trade out of 2230-2250 yuan/ton, the actual is a single discussion. Imported potassium port inventory is high, sufficient supply surface, 62 white potassium mainstream port quotation 2340-2380 yuan/ton, large particles quoted 2350-2400 yuan/ton, the actual transaction is a single discussion.

Domestic potassium chloride market has not improved, but the price has been low, so continue to fall down the pace of slowing down. At present, the port potassium chloride inventory is much larger than the same period last year, 62% Russian white potassium port price of about 2350-2380 yuan/ton, Russian red potassium 2200 yuan/ton or so, granular potassium 2380/ton or so, the actual transaction single discussion mainly. Yingkou Port Bayuquan granular potassium price in 2380-2400 yuan/ton, 62% white potassium 2300-2330 yuan/ton or so, the actual transaction can be discussed.

Border trade April Supply is still not sold out, May Supply has not yet arrived, but also in successive shipments, and even some of the supply to north China, Southwest region, 62% white potassium quotation of about 2050-2080 yuan, the external order price is low, but more based on the actual distance of the main. Domestic potassium market construction rate is very unsatisfactory, significantly lower than the level of the same period in recent years, the price of temporary stability is the main. Salt Lake price stability, benchmark products 60% powder crystal execution price of 2350 yuan/ton, regional market price stabilization, transaction price in 2200-2250 yuan/ton or so, to digest the pre-inventory mainly.

Qinghai small factory started low, transaction is relatively cold, self-reference price 57% powder Crystal 1700 yuan/ton or so (four water), the area to the station price in 2050-2100 yuan/ton or so. Some traders said that the yuan’s decline led to higher costs, some traders said that even if there is no order, some traders said the production of domestic potassium is low, in short, there are various reasons to hope to support the price, but the recent demand is not strong, and the port supply is temporarily more, and the international price for two consecutive weeks showed a micro-drop trend So even if it is not good to determine the price of the price of how much space, but potassium chloride after the market is certainly still not optimistic.

Price Trend

The domestic butadiene market rose narrowly this week. Business Association monitoring showed that the domestic butadiene market price was 7976 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 8036 yuan/ton at the weekend. The price rose by 0.75% in the week and fell by 28.73% compared with the same period last year.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Product: This week, the domestic butadiene market maintained finishing after going up. The base price of Liaotong Chemical Bidding rose 200 yuan/ton to 8010 yuan/ton from last week, and the export volume of Northeast manufacturers continued to shrink. During the week, Fushun Petrochemical continued to suspend export, Liaotong Chemical only released a small amount of goods on Monday, and the spot market supply continued to be tight. Although Bluestar and Liaoyang Petrochemical had a small amount of export, the supply price was high, and the market was hard to find low-priced goods. In addition, the recent external market was higher, the middlemen were reluctant to sell at low prices, and the offer was firm and upward. Liaotong chemical suspension of export continues to support the market, the downstream just need a small amount of follow-up, although there is no obvious low-price supply to supplement the market, but short-term trading is difficult to release volume, after the market rose in the middle and late weeks to sort out.

Industry chain: styrene-butadiene rubber: domestic styrene-butadiene rubber market shows a shock market. On-site merchants offer price changes little, downstream terminal to maintain just needed purchasing volume, small single transactions mainly. Cis-butadiene rubber: domestic cis-butadiene rubber market shocks. The overall change of business offer is not big, some high offer is difficult to deal with, the purchasing intention of buyers on the spot is not high, and the volume of spot transactions is small. SBS: The domestic SBS market oil glue partial gravity center weakens, dry rubber duct to small finishing.

3. Future Market Forecast

On the positive side, the spot stock in East China is slowly digested, the export manufacturers have no obvious inventory pressure for the time being, and Sinopec’s supply price is expected to rise. On the negative side, the trend of synthetic rubber market is weak, Northeast manufacturers have export expectations in the next cycle, downstream just need to support high prices is limited, poor terminal demand leads to pressure on the latex industry, cost pressure is obvious. Short-term low inventory of domestic and foreign manufacturers has brought obvious support to the price of suppliers, but the high price of the market is not good. In the next cycle, manufacturers in Northeast China and Central China all have export expectations, the spot market has increased slightly, and the latex industry downstream just needs to be difficult to effectively support the high market, the market is under pressure. Although the supply price of Sinopec in East China is expected to rise and the stock of tank farms is declining, there are still some shipments arriving in the second half of the month. The change of supply side has a certain impact on the mentality of the merchants. The supply and demand fundamentals have not been further boosted. Business analysts predict that the domestic butadiene market will remain in order in the short term. They suggest paying attention to supply changes and downstream transaction guidelines.

On May 14, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 98.09, unchanged from yesterday, down 30.15% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 83.04% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price trend was temporarily stable on the 15th. Up to now, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price was 10 820 yuan/ton, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid start-up rate was less than 60%. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 10500-11000 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is about 10500-11000 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand was not actually good, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant plant surface starts at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Recently, due to the poor condition of goods, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is shaking.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid has decreased, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may remain volatile.

According to the monitoring of business associations, hydrogen peroxide rose sharply this week, the average price of 27.5% hydrogen peroxide at the beginning of the week was 1205 yuan/ton, and the average price of 27.5% hydrogen peroxide at the end of the week was 1262 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.77%.

After May 1st, hydroperoxide underwater caprolactam manufacturer started, rigid demand support, hydrogen peroxide Market returned to the upward trend. In Shandong, the price of hydrogen peroxide has risen, with the mainstream price of 1200 yuan / ton – 1290 yuan / ton and the price of 60 yuan / ton. Hebei mainstream price quoted 1250-1300 yuan/ton, the price rose 50-100 yuan/ton. Anhui mainstream offer 1210 yuan / ton – 1250 yuan / ton.

Business analysts believe that hydrogen peroxide prices will remain strong in the short term, supported by demand.

First, the price trend: According to business data monitoring, this week, the implementation of the offer of the O-benzene Sinopec fell.

This week, the contract price of 6400.00 yuan/ton, the price of phthalates fell, compared with the same period last year prices increased by 2.61%.

Second, the market analysis:

Product Analysis:

Product Name

Quote Type

Port

Price of the Week

Last week’s price

Change

Unit

Adjacent xylene

Fob

United States Gulf of Mexico

964.69

981.23

-16.54

USD/T

Adjacent xylene

Fob

Korea

960.00

980.00

-20.00

USD/T

Adjacent xylene

Fob

Rotterdam

1070.00

1060.00

10.00

USD/T

Adjacent xylene

CFR

Southeast asia

965.00

995.00

-30.00

USD/T

Adjacent xylene

CFR

China

865.00

895.00

-30.00

USD/T This week East China port adjacent benzene inventory rose, as of May 10 East China Port inventory increased, wharf adjacent xylene inventory of about 18,000 tons. As can be seen from the table above, the price of neighboring foreign disks fell, this week East Asia’s foreign disk prices fell by about 30 U.S. dollars/ton, the United States adjacent to the price of xylene decreased by 20 U.S. dollars/ton, the cost of imported phthalates fell, port inventory rose, the foreign disk market is negative, 80% after the market decline of domestic benzene manufacturers , The supply of phthalates is sufficient, the demand for phthalates is general, and the market of phthalates in the aftermarket is greater than the positive.

After the market after the price of phthalates still have downward pressure, but this week, the next benzene Sinopec cut the implementation price, easing the downward pressure on phthalates, expected to be the main in the aftermarket stability.

Analysis of industrial chain factors:

Product Name

Specification Categories

ORIGIN/Brand

5.5

5.6

5.7

5.8

5.9

5.10

Unit

OX

Premium Products

East

6700.00

6700.00

6700.00

6700.00

6400.00

6400.00

RMB/ton

Mixed xylene

Heterogeneous level

Domestic

5675.00

5650.00

5650.00

5625.00

5625.00

5625.00

RMB/ton

Phthalic anhydride

Excellent grade Products

Jiangsu

6550.00

6516.67

6466.67

6383.33

6383.33

6383.33

RMB/ton

Dop

Primary Products

East

7950.00

7933.33

7900.00

7850.00

7850.00

7800.00

RMB/ton This week, the mixed-xylene market concussion fell, the cost of adjacent xylene fell, the downward pressure on phthalates increased. May 10 mixed Xylene quote 5625.00 yuan/ton, compared with the beginning of this week mixed xylene price of 5650.00 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.44%.

The price of mixed xylene fell, the cost of adjacent xylene fell, the fall pressure on the adjacent benzene, the market has a certain profit. Downstream phenylanhydride and Plasticizers this week the market fell, as of May 10, Phenylanhydride quoted 6383.33 yuan/ton, compared to last weekend phenylanhydride quote 6550 Yuan/ton fell, this week fell 2.05%;DOP quote 7800 Yuan/ton, compared with the earlier this week quoted 7933.33 Yuan/ton fell, a decrease of 1.68%,

Overall downstream phenylanhydride and plasticizer market decline, on the price of phthalates have a negative impact on the decline of the market pressure is greater.

Third, the forecast of the aftermarket: Business community Paraxylene data analyst Baijia believes that this week, the price of adjacent xylene lower, lower prices of imported phthalates, the downward pressure of the adjacent benzene market, the price of mixed xylene fell, the cost of adjacent xylene fell, on the adjacent benzene market has a negative impact; downstream phenylanhydride and plasticizer markets fell, downstream customer procurement enthusiasm is not high, The demand for phthalates is general, and the market of phthalates is obviously negative. The overall phthalates market is obvious, the decline of the market pressure is greater, this week the price of phthalates fell 300 yuan/ton, greatly eased the downward pressure of the after-market decline, expected after the after

May 7 The Ammonium Nitrate Commodity index was 102.63, down 3.51 points from yesterday, down 13.33% from 118.42 at the highest point in the cycle (2019-01-15), up 77.37 from its lowest point of 32.65% on October 31, 2016.

(Note: cycle refers to 2013-02-01 to date). Recently, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price trend slightly lower, affected by environmental control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shutdown more, domestic ammonium nitrate device driving less, but recently with the warmer weather, the northern gas limit effect disappeared, coupled with the domestic downstream civil explosion industry all shut down, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers inventory more, the price trend in the field decline.

As of 8th domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1850-2000 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many areas of manufacturers are forced to production restrictions or cut off maintenance for environmental inspection, the site ammonium nitrate price trend slightly declined. Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is stable, as of 8th market price of 1576.67 yuan/ton, nitric acid price trend stability on the ammonium nitrate market has little impact, ammonium nitrate price trend is stable, upstream raw material liquid ammonia price trend is steady, as of 8th liquid ammonia market price of 3480 yuan/ton, Upstream raw material price trend shock for the ammonium nitrate market to bring a certain cost support, ammonium nitrate price trend slightly lower. Recently downstream civil explosion industry peak season, for the ammonium nitrate market demand weakened, ammonium nitrate manufacturers inventory increased, but the liquid ammonia market is also rising trend, ammonium nitrate market due to bad market low shock. Business Society ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price to maintain a shock, but downstream demand is not good, expected late ammonium nitrate market price or maintenance slightly lower.

The Fluorite Commodity Index of May 6 was 100.00, an increase of 0.53 points over yesterday, a decrease of 21.56% from the highest point in the cycle of 127.49 (2019-01-03) and a 49.21 increase from the lowest 103.21% point of December 18, 2016.

(Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to present) According to statistics, domestic fluorite price trend rose, as of 7th, the domestic fluorite average price of 2862.5 yuan/ton, the recent domestic fluorite device driving normally, the field of the mine and flotation device normal start, the field fluorite supply Normal, the recent downstream freight market in general, for the fluorite market on demand procurement, fluorite price trend shock. Recently downstream plant construction situation is poor, the field fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation is not good, resulting in a small increase in market price trend. As of 7th, Inner Mongolia 97 fluorite wet powder price in 2700-3000 yuan/ton, Fujian region 97 fluorite Wet powder talks mainstream in 2700-3000 yuan/ton, Henan Region 97 fluorite Wet powder price in 2600-3000 yuan/ton, Jiangxi Region 97 fluorite Wet powder price in 2800-3000 yuan/ton

, Fluorite price trend slightly increased. Fluorite downstream hydrofluoric acid market price trend rose, as of 7th domestic hydrofluoric acid market price of 10680 yuan/ton, hydrofluoric acid market price shock for the upstream fluorite market has a certain positive impact, but the recent start of hydrofluoric acid device has declined, for the demand for fluorite weakened, fluorite price shock operation. Recently downstream refrigerant product plant started in low, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand in general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market in general, hydrofluoric acid product prices slightly lower. Recently terminal downstream refrigerant market trading market cold, R22 refrigerant device surface started in 60%,R22 market installation rate of temporary stability, the main production enterprises Scatterwater factory price of 18000-18800 yuan/ton between, but the production enterprises do not have scatterwater spot, more than a small number of cylinders shipped mainly. In addition, the actual demand surface of the market changes little, shipping market in general. Domestic R134a market price trend shock, production enterprises plant construction rate to maintain low, refrigerant market demand in general, manufacturers shipped to export-oriented. But the market transaction price changes are not big, merchants on demand procurement, comprehensive view, downstream industry market in general, coupled with the normal supply of fluorite markets, fluorite prices rose slightly, business analysts Chen Ling that fluorite market prices or will be slightly higher.

The hydrofluoric acid Commodity Index of May 5 was 95.74, the same as yesterday, down 31.82% from 140.43 at the highest point in the cycle (2018-02-21), up 78.65% from the lowest 53.59 point on November 30, 2016.

(Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to present) According to statistics, 6th domestic hydrofluoric acid market price trend rose, the current domestic hydrofluoric acid market price of 10650 yuan/ton, domestic hydrofluoric acid start rate of less than 60%, enterprises reflect the current field of hydrofluoric acid spot supply tension, the recent field cargo situation in general, due to the higher raw materials fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers production restrictions guaranteed, Hydrofluoric acid market price trend slightly increased. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid talks in the south is about 10000-10500 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 10500-11000 yuan/ton.

Domestic hydrofluoric acid market price increase, spot supply is slightly reduced, but the demand is not real good, hydrofluoric acid market price slightly higher. Recently downstream refrigerant product plant started in low, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand in general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market in general, hydrofluoric acid product price shock. Recently terminal downstream refrigerant market trading market cold, R22 refrigerant device surface started in 60%,R22 market installation rate of temporary stability, the main production enterprises Scatterwater factory price of 18000-18800 yuan/ton between, but the production enterprises do not have scatterwater spot, more than a small number of cylinders shipped mainly. In addition, the actual demand for the market changes little, the shipment market compared to the previous increase. Domestic R134A market price trend is not good, production enterprises plant construction rate to maintain low, refrigerant market demand in general, manufacturers shipped to export-oriented.

But the market transaction price changes are not big, merchants on demand procurement, recently due to poor delivery situation, hydrofluoric acid price trend shock. Refrigerant field transaction situation in general, refrigerant industry installation rate to maintain a low, for the upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but hydrofluoric acid spot supply has decreased, business analyst Chen Ling think hydrofluoric acid market or will be slightly higher.

First, the price trend

The overall price of aniline in China has receded this week, at a price of around 5400-5750 yuan/ton, according to business’s bulk list data.

Ii. Analysis and review
Upstream: Some factories have been overhauled and put into production this week, and the supply of aniline has increased; downstream: downstream demand is low and trading is light.

Third, the expectation of the aftermarket Shandong mainstream factory to return to the country, aniline supply is sufficient, aniline prices are subject to constraints.

I. Price Brief Introduction

Trend chart of liquid ammonia

Data from business associations show that the market of liquid ammonia did not continue its upward trend last month, but stepped out of the first rise and then fall market, especially in the latter half of the year. The price of liquid ammonia rose and fell by 0.48% in the whole month in the northern region. As of April 29, the price of liquid ammonia was in the range of 3250-3400 yuan/ton at the end of the month.

The repeated market of liquid ammonia is mainly affected by the following factors: on the one hand, the market supply is slightly loose, the start-up rate in the north is relatively high, and the inventory pressure of the manufacturers is gradually appearing; on the other hand, the downstream urea plant stops, resulting in demand not keeping pace; on the other hand, due to the impact of environmental protection, the downstream plant start-up rate has declined, and the purchasing power of liquid ammonia has slowed down.

II. Market Analysis

From the perspective of supply and demand:

Products: By the end of the month, the price of liquid ammonia in main producing areas such as Shandong is about 3200-3400 yuan/ton, Hebei is about 3300 yuan/ton, and Anhui is about 3400 yuan/ton. In the early ten days, the domestic liquid ammonia market is still in the upstream stage, mainly due to the downstream purchasing effort is still acceptable, the market is still at the end of the spring farming season, manufacturers are also actively shipping, at this time, the inventory pressure of manufacturers has gradually accumulated. By the end of the decade, the inventory pressure of the manufacturer has gradually emerged. Moreover, the downstream purchasing efforts have slowed down, resulting in repeated prices, and the liquid ammonia market continues to fall.

Industry chain: downstream demand is mainly rational. At present, the spring tillage season is coming to an end. Downstream fertilizer manufacturers mainly take goods on demand, and no longer vigorously stock up. Therefore, to a certain extent, the continuation of the soaring liquid ammonia market is limited. Downstream nitric acid, urea and other start-up rates have declined, especially urea, there are problems in large plants, affecting the use of liquid ammonia, the price of downstream products has fallen, and the market of liquid ammonia has lost support, according to the business community monitoring, since early April urea fell by 1.22%, upstream and downstream linkage, the entire industrial chain of liquid ammonia and nitrogen fertilizer has experienced a wave of market reversal.

3. Future Market Forecast

Analysts believe that the liquid ammonia market is currently in imbalance between supply and demand, with relatively excessive supply. At the end of the month, the market is gradually cooling down. It is expected that with the end of the peak season, downstream purchasing efforts will continue to slow down. The liquid ammonia market can not rule out the possibility of further downward trend.

Price Trend

According to commodity data monitoring, yellow phosphorus prices fell in April. At the beginning of the month, the average price of yellow phosphorus was 15575 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, it was 15075 yuan/ton. The price fell slightly within the month, with a range of 3.21%.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Yellow phosphorus prices fell slightly this month. In terms of electricity price, the price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan began to rebound near the end of the month due to the impact of cost support. At present, yellow phosphorus is generally driven everywhere, and the supply of goods is on the tight side. The mainstream transaction price in Yunnan is about 15200-15400 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price in Sichuan is about 14900 yuan/ton. The main transaction price of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou is about 15 300 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: Most mines in the domestic phosphate ore market have resumed mining this month, with increased supply and high overall inventory. The mainstream quotation is 400-500 yuan/ton. Coke prices fell by 9.73% this month. The mainstream market price of Panzhihua coke (secondary metallurgical coke) is 2,080 yuan per ton. March is still a dry season. The electricity price of yellow phosphorus enterprises has been raised. Affected by the explosion accident in Yancheng, Jiangsu Province, safety inspection shows that the downstream enterprises of yellow phosphorus have insufficient start-up rate and light demand.

Third, the future market forecast business society chemical branch yellow phosphorus analysts believe that the overall demand for yellow phosphorus is good, the downstream market needs to increase, the situation of supply and demand tension is intensifying. The price of electricity will rise instead of falling, and the price of Coke will rise. Influenced by cost support, it is expected that there is still room for price increases in the short term.

On April 27, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 107.02, which was the same as yesterday. It was 9.63% lower than the peak of 118.42 points in the cycle (2019-01-15), and 38.32% higher than the low of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date)

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market has maintained a low level. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plants shut down more, and domestic ammonium nitrate plants started less. However, with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappeared. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles and the price trend in the field has declined. As of the 28th day, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2100 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance to accept environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is weak.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, the market price is 1576.67 yuan/ton as of 28 days, the stable trend of nitric acid price has little effect on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable; the price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia is oscillating, and the market price of liquid ammonia as of 28 days is 3460 yuan/ton. The downward trend of upstream raw material price has a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market. Market price trend is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again, and the ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level due to the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

On April 23, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 107.02, which was the same as yesterday. It was 9.63% lower than the peak of 118.42 points in the cycle (2019-01-15), and 38.32% higher than the lowest point of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date)

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market has maintained a low level. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plants shut down more and domestic ammonium nitrate plants started less. However, with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappeared. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles and the price trend in the field has declined. As of the 24th, domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2100 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance to accept environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is weak.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, up to 24 days, the market price is 1560 yuan/ton. The stable trend of nitric acid price has little effect on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia has slightly declined, up to 24 days, the market price of liquid ammonia is 3453 yuan/ton. The downward trend of upstream raw material price has a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market. Ammonium market price trend is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market has slightly declined due to the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

On April 22, the PX commodity index was 67.20, unchanged from yesterday, down 34.38% from its peak of 102.40 points in the cycle (2013-02-28), and up 47.53% from its low of 45.55 points on February 15, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, the domestic market price trend of p-xylene has been temporarily stable. Pengzhou Petrochemical Plant has been running steadily in the field. Urumqi Petrochemical Plant has started 50% of its operation. Fuhai Aromatic Hydrocarbon Plant has started a line. CNOOC Huizhou Refinery and Chemical Plant has been overhauled. Hengli Petrochemical PX Plant has been put into operation. Other units have been running steadily for the time being. Due to the increase of domestic market supply of p-xylene, the market for p-xylene has increased. Price trend is stable for the time being. The start-up rate of PX plant in Asia is about 80%. On April 22, the market of p-xylene in Asia rose by 2 US dollars/ton. The closing price is US$949-951/ton FOB in Korea and US$968-970/ton CFR in China. More than 50% of the domestic units need to be imported. The low price of foreign units has a negative effect on the domestic market price of p-xylene. The price trend of p-xylene in the market is temporarily stable.

On April 22, the price of WTI crude oil in June rose to $65.70 per barrel, an increase of $1.70. Brent crude oil in June rose to $74.04 per barrel, an increase of $2.07. The trend of crude oil price is rising, which has certain cost support for the price of downstream petrochemical products, while the price of p-xylene market is temporarily stable. Recent textile industry volatility, PTA prices rose slightly on the 23rd. The average price of East China was raised near 6550-6650 yuan/ton. As of the 22nd, domestic PTA start-up rate was about 80%, polyester industry start-up rate was about 91%, downstream production and sales rate maintained high, but PTA market prices did not change much. It is expected that the price of PX Market will be lower in the later period.

Price Trend

Business associations: This week’s weak finishing trend in maleic anhydride market (3.18-3.22)

According to the data of business associations, the average price of maleic anhydride offer by the end of the weekend was 7200.00 yuan/ton (all including tax), and the trend of weak consolidation of offer.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the domestic maleic anhydride market as a whole showed a weak trend of consolidation.

Industry chain: First, the domestic unsaturated resin runs smoothly this week, the downstream demand is general, resin factory purchasing on demand is dominant, domestic maleic anhydride market is weak, negotiations are weak; secondly, the mainstream factory price is dominant. Peripheral crude oil fluctuations affect the field’s psychology, crude oil has a certain support market; upstream raw materials pure benzene and n-butane rose slightly, the market supply is sufficient, in the short term, the profit margin of benzene and butane maleic anhydride remained stable. Finally, at present, downstream warehouse replenishment is cautious, and factories are mainly on the lookout.

3. Future Market Forecast

At present, the domestic maleic anhydride market is likely to maintain a weak consolidation trend in the near future, and the overall price may be the same as this week, according to the analyst of maleic anhydride products of Business Society Chemical Branch.

Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations, the price of potassium nitrate in China has been consolidated this week, with little overall change. As of April 19, the price of domestic industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 4425 yuan/ton, and this week’s market consolidation was the main one.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week’s domestic potassium nitrate Market Trading atmosphere is cool, the overall inventory is at a low level, the start-up rate of manufacturers has decreased, downstream purchasing volume meets a small amount of replenishment, it is expected that in the short term, the main stable state, this week’s price changes little, domestic potassium nitrate mainstream manufacturers offer 4000-4500 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

Nitrate analysts of business associations believe that the recent nitric acid market is mainly consolidated, spot trading is not warm, and it is expected that the demand for potassium nitrate will hardly improve in the short term, and the market may continue to consolidate.

On April 17, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 107.02, which was the same as yesterday. It was 9.63% lower than the cyclical peak of 118.42 points (2019-01-15), and 38.32% higher than the lowest point of 77.37 on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date)

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market has maintained a low level. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plants shut down more, and domestic ammonium nitrate plants started less. However, with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappeared. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles and the price trend in the field has declined. As of the 18th, domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2100 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance to accept environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is weak.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, up to 18 days, the market price is 1560 yuan/ton. The stable trend of nitric acid price has little influence on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate has slightly declined. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia has risen slightly, up to 18 days, the market price of liquid ammonia is 3536.67 yuan/ton. The rising trend of upstream raw material price has brought certain support to the ammonium nitrate market. Ammonium acid market price trend is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market has slightly declined due to the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

On April 16, the fluorite commodity index was 99.12, down 0.35 points from yesterday, down 22.25% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 101.42% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, up to 17 days, the average domestic fluorite price is 2825 yuan/ton, the recent domestic fluorite plant start-up is normal, the mine and flotation plant start-up is normal, the supply of fluorite in the field is normal, the recent downstream market is general, for the fluorite market on demand purchase, fluorite market price fluctuations. In recent years, the downstream units started to work poorly, the fluorite spot supply in the field was normal, and the downstream terminal receipt was not good, which led to a slight decline in market price trend. As of the 16th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2700-3000 yuan/ton, and the price trend of fluorite remained volatile.

The market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is stable temporarily. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 10 375 yuan/ton as of the 17th day. The rising market price of hydrofluoric acid has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant has declined, the demand for fluorite has weakened, and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid products prices slightly lower. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. Fluorite prices are stable temporarily. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may maintain a volatile trend.

On April 15, the fluorite commodity index was 99.47, unchanged from yesterday, down 21.98% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 102.13% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is slightly lower, up to 16 days, the average domestic fluorite price is 2825 yuan/ton, the recent domestic fluorite plant start-up is normal, the mine and flotation plant start-up is normal, the fluorite supply is normal, the recent downstream market is not good, the market demand for fluorite is weakened, the fluorite market price trend is slightly lower. In recent years, the downstream units started to work poorly, the fluorite spot supply in the field was normal, and the downstream terminal receipt was not good, which led to a slight decline in market price trend. As of the 16th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2700-3000 yuan/ton, and the price of fluorite declined slightly.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market in downstream fluorite is rising. As of 16 days, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 10 375 yuan/ton. The rising market price of hydrofluoric acid has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant has declined, the demand for fluorite has weakened and the price of fluorite has been weakened. Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid products prices slightly lower. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, fluorite market supply is normal and fluorite prices are declining. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may maintain a volatile trend.